The first month of our mechanical selections is over and how did we fare?
62 individual selections for 20 winners giving us a 32.3% strike rate at a 9.2% profit. We had selections from 17 of the 20 systems so only systems 4, 5 & 6 are still to open their account. System 5 is aimed at three horse fields so a selection from it might be a little while coming.
The notable failure for the month was what I've dubbed Unlucky System 13. Against a long term 40% strike rate it only achieved 3/14 (21%) for a loss of 33%. It's due to go off at some point and I expect it will rack up a few wins in a row.
On the plus side of the ledger is System 18, which achieved 3/8 at 152% profit and included a $12 winner. System 7 did what it's been doing for ages and getting winners at a better than 50% strike rate with a strong profit. It really is a cracker. Could be famous last words there; hope I haven't put the mocker on it.
We were a bit unlucky not to get a couple more home but at the end of the day we squeezed out a profit and that's what it's all about. Not bad for a free service.
Wednesday, January 31, 2007
SELECTIONS - 31 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Eagle Farm 7-9 Nomads [20]
Pinjarra 4-2 The Kid [10]
Wyong 3-3 Danzibaa [10,13]
Wyong 6-7 Picture Show [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Sandown 3-7
Wyong 6-5
(* updates at Pinjarra after final details are through - UPDATED - sorry about the late update (2PM) at Eagle Farm *)
Comments: No surprise, really, that yesterday's POOMA at Rocky, Cyclone George, couldn't get home. He started way too short compared to the first two in the race. That said, I think those first two might be OK and there was a gap to 4th so his turn might not be far away. A few POOMAs today to finish off the month. Wyong 3-3 Danzibaa won its Maiden last start at this track over 1350m and has had a freshen up for today's 1200m assignment. There doesn't seem to be a lot of pace in the race so he should be able to settle handy enough from gate 3 and be in the finish. I'll be looking for around $6 to back him. 6-7 Picture Show was only beaten 1.4L last time after starting from gate 11 of 11 over the 1100m at this track. From the inside gate, he's going to be in the firing line all the way in another race that seems to lack a lot of speed. I reckon we'll get around $6 on this one, as well, which I think is a good price. Pinjarra 4-2 The Kid won well last time and has raced well enough recently to suggest that he can step up a grade today. The problem is that he's drawn gate 1 and nearly all of the races over the straight 1000m at Pinjarra have been by horses coming down the outside so I hope Willy Pike doesn't chance his arm and try and come down the inside in the hope that it's faster.
Eagle Farm 7-9 Nomads [20]
Pinjarra 4-2 The Kid [10]
Wyong 3-3 Danzibaa [10,13]
Wyong 6-7 Picture Show [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Sandown 3-7
Wyong 6-5
(* updates at Pinjarra after final details are through - UPDATED - sorry about the late update (2PM) at Eagle Farm *)
Comments: No surprise, really, that yesterday's POOMA at Rocky, Cyclone George, couldn't get home. He started way too short compared to the first two in the race. That said, I think those first two might be OK and there was a gap to 4th so his turn might not be far away. A few POOMAs today to finish off the month. Wyong 3-3 Danzibaa won its Maiden last start at this track over 1350m and has had a freshen up for today's 1200m assignment. There doesn't seem to be a lot of pace in the race so he should be able to settle handy enough from gate 3 and be in the finish. I'll be looking for around $6 to back him. 6-7 Picture Show was only beaten 1.4L last time after starting from gate 11 of 11 over the 1100m at this track. From the inside gate, he's going to be in the firing line all the way in another race that seems to lack a lot of speed. I reckon we'll get around $6 on this one, as well, which I think is a good price. Pinjarra 4-2 The Kid won well last time and has raced well enough recently to suggest that he can step up a grade today. The problem is that he's drawn gate 1 and nearly all of the races over the straight 1000m at Pinjarra have been by horses coming down the outside so I hope Willy Pike doesn't chance his arm and try and come down the inside in the hope that it's faster.
Tuesday, January 30, 2007
SELECTIONS - 30 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Rockhampton 1-6 Cyclone George [3]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Stawell 5-2
Comments: Our sole selection, Inglewood Doc, got home at a handy $4.10 yesterday against an assessed price of $3.50. He's only a little feller and lumped the 58kg to a comfortable win while giving away 3.5kg to the field. If placed properly and with some weight relief then he could surprise a Class 5 or 6 country field. Rockhampton 1-6 Cyclone George comes out of a long term well performing system that seems to go very well (26/39) at this track. The horse is having its 15th start and is yet to open its account but it has drawn a good gate and should be thereabouts but needs to be strong e/w odds for me to have a go. The topweight in that race was beaten as a $1.40 shot at his first run in the area and he's probably going to start short again, as he's from the John Wigginton stable.
Rockhampton 1-6 Cyclone George [3]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Stawell 5-2
Comments: Our sole selection, Inglewood Doc, got home at a handy $4.10 yesterday against an assessed price of $3.50. He's only a little feller and lumped the 58kg to a comfortable win while giving away 3.5kg to the field. If placed properly and with some weight relief then he could surprise a Class 5 or 6 country field. Rockhampton 1-6 Cyclone George comes out of a long term well performing system that seems to go very well (26/39) at this track. The horse is having its 15th start and is yet to open its account but it has drawn a good gate and should be thereabouts but needs to be strong e/w odds for me to have a go. The topweight in that race was beaten as a $1.40 shot at his first run in the area and he's probably going to start short again, as he's from the John Wigginton stable.
Monday, January 29, 2007
SELECTIONS - 29 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Terang 5-1 Inglewood Doc [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
Comments: 1 from 2 yesterday returning $2.30. Rhumb Line didn't win the first at Hobart by far but never looked like running 2nd. Given how well placed he was, and how narrowly he won, I doubt that he has much scope to keep winning. At Bunbury, Mighty Ronnie really should have won. He was quite untractable, pulling and reefing before running around like a duck in the straight. The winner, Blue Hoops, is not a bad horse and is also worth following. He races in the colours he's named after, trainer Mark Bairstow's old football club, Geelong. A POOMA from our least favourite system today in the form of Terang 5-1 Inglewood Doc. He as a bit disappointing over this course two starts back before running an OK race in a particularly strong event last time behind Mock. With all bar one of the other runners having an apprentice claim he has to give away 3.5kg to the rest of the field so I wouldn't be taking less than $3.50.
Terang 5-1 Inglewood Doc [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
Comments: 1 from 2 yesterday returning $2.30. Rhumb Line didn't win the first at Hobart by far but never looked like running 2nd. Given how well placed he was, and how narrowly he won, I doubt that he has much scope to keep winning. At Bunbury, Mighty Ronnie really should have won. He was quite untractable, pulling and reefing before running around like a duck in the straight. The winner, Blue Hoops, is not a bad horse and is also worth following. He races in the colours he's named after, trainer Mark Bairstow's old football club, Geelong. A POOMA from our least favourite system today in the form of Terang 5-1 Inglewood Doc. He as a bit disappointing over this course two starts back before running an OK race in a particularly strong event last time behind Mock. With all bar one of the other runners having an apprentice claim he has to give away 3.5kg to the rest of the field so I wouldn't be taking less than $3.50.
Sunday, January 28, 2007
SELECTIONS - 28 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Bunbury 5-1 Mighty Ronnie [1]
Hobart 1-6 Rhumb Line [7]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ballina 3-4
Ballarat 7-3
Hobart 5-1, 7-3, 7-5
Moe 3-11, 7-4
Sunshine Coast 7-4
(* updates at Bunbury after final details are in - UPDATED *)
Comments: Didn't our $25 shot, Fly First, acquit himself well at Rosehill yesterday? Tye Angland gave him an excellent ride on the fence, saved ground around the corner and went strongly to the line to be beaten a sht nk x hd in 3rd spot paying $4.60 the place. In the first there, our pick, Typhoon Zed, settled just off the speed, as suggested, and got home narrowly at $1.80. He's not a bad horse and will be suited when there's more pace in the race. At Ascot, Rocking The Blues was ridden on the pace and dropped out in the last 200m and Ready For Luck couldn't reverse the fortunes of Unlucky System 13 at Moe. The two others I mentioned, Soul Diva and Zoo City Lad, won and ran 3rd at Sandown and Rosehill respectively, which was a good result.
Hobart 1-6 Rhumb Line was beaten as a $2 favourite last time but gets his chance to break his duck in this race, which lacks depth. Bunbury 5-1 Mighty Ronnie won under a hold last time by 3L and looks like the 2000m will suit. The only danger in that race is Blue Hoops, which won in Class 4 company and drops in grade here.
Bunbury 5-1 Mighty Ronnie [1]
Hobart 1-6 Rhumb Line [7]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ballina 3-4
Ballarat 7-3
Hobart 5-1, 7-3, 7-5
Moe 3-11, 7-4
Sunshine Coast 7-4
(* updates at Bunbury after final details are in - UPDATED *)
Comments: Didn't our $25 shot, Fly First, acquit himself well at Rosehill yesterday? Tye Angland gave him an excellent ride on the fence, saved ground around the corner and went strongly to the line to be beaten a sht nk x hd in 3rd spot paying $4.60 the place. In the first there, our pick, Typhoon Zed, settled just off the speed, as suggested, and got home narrowly at $1.80. He's not a bad horse and will be suited when there's more pace in the race. At Ascot, Rocking The Blues was ridden on the pace and dropped out in the last 200m and Ready For Luck couldn't reverse the fortunes of Unlucky System 13 at Moe. The two others I mentioned, Soul Diva and Zoo City Lad, won and ran 3rd at Sandown and Rosehill respectively, which was a good result.
Hobart 1-6 Rhumb Line was beaten as a $2 favourite last time but gets his chance to break his duck in this race, which lacks depth. Bunbury 5-1 Mighty Ronnie won under a hold last time by 3L and looks like the 2000m will suit. The only danger in that race is Blue Hoops, which won in Class 4 company and drops in grade here.
Saturday, January 27, 2007
SELECTIONS - 27 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Ascot 1-1 Rocking The Blues [18]
Moe 7-1 Ready For Luck [13]
Rosehill 1-1 Typhoon Zed [14]
Rosehill 4-9 Fly First [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Morphettville 3-1
Newcastle 4-2
Rosehill 7-9
Sandown 5-7
(* Updates after Ascot details are in - UPDATED with POOMA *)
Comments: What a great return to racing by Haradasun. Nash Rawiller bounced the horse out, was content to sit three deep right behind the speed, let the horse amble to the lead at the 200m and never got out of second gear without behind hit with the whip. Eclair Passion did well to finish runner up and he's obviously in for a good autumn campaign. Our three POOMAs yesterday never really got our hopes up, all being comfortaby beaten.
Rosehill 1-1 Typhoon Zed is an up and coming sprinter that has a nice turn of foot. There's not a heap of speed, and you'd expect Astounded to lead, so it'll be a sprint to the line, which always serves to reduce winning margins. Typhoon Zed should park right behind the speed and get his chance to run them down under his 58kg. 4-9 Fly First comes from a system that's been performing at 36%/50% for nearly two years with a heap of selections however this race might be a little ambitious for him. In his favour is that he has no weight and the step up in trip seems to have improved him but against him are some seasoned campaigners that would have won the race he was in last time by about 14 lengths if they were in it with the same weight. He's a genuine $30+ shot, for mine, but I'll have a little e/w bet. At Moe we have a selection from our current (non) favourite system that has begun the year with a 2/11 record against a long term strike rate of 43% so maybe the well named 7-1 Ready For Luck can reverse the trend. He has struck form this campaign but needs to overcome a wide gate and 58kg. There's a couple of others that I think might run fair races today. Rosehill 7-12 Zoo City Lad gets into the race with no weight, a good gate and OK recent form. I also expect 8-1 Soul Diva to go close in the last at Sandown. She's a real mile specialist with a 4/5 record at the trip
Ascot 1-1 Rocking The Blues [18]
Moe 7-1 Ready For Luck [13]
Rosehill 1-1 Typhoon Zed [14]
Rosehill 4-9 Fly First [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Morphettville 3-1
Newcastle 4-2
Rosehill 7-9
Sandown 5-7
(* Updates after Ascot details are in - UPDATED with POOMA *)
Comments: What a great return to racing by Haradasun. Nash Rawiller bounced the horse out, was content to sit three deep right behind the speed, let the horse amble to the lead at the 200m and never got out of second gear without behind hit with the whip. Eclair Passion did well to finish runner up and he's obviously in for a good autumn campaign. Our three POOMAs yesterday never really got our hopes up, all being comfortaby beaten.
Rosehill 1-1 Typhoon Zed is an up and coming sprinter that has a nice turn of foot. There's not a heap of speed, and you'd expect Astounded to lead, so it'll be a sprint to the line, which always serves to reduce winning margins. Typhoon Zed should park right behind the speed and get his chance to run them down under his 58kg. 4-9 Fly First comes from a system that's been performing at 36%/50% for nearly two years with a heap of selections however this race might be a little ambitious for him. In his favour is that he has no weight and the step up in trip seems to have improved him but against him are some seasoned campaigners that would have won the race he was in last time by about 14 lengths if they were in it with the same weight. He's a genuine $30+ shot, for mine, but I'll have a little e/w bet. At Moe we have a selection from our current (non) favourite system that has begun the year with a 2/11 record against a long term strike rate of 43% so maybe the well named 7-1 Ready For Luck can reverse the trend. He has struck form this campaign but needs to overcome a wide gate and 58kg. There's a couple of others that I think might run fair races today. Rosehill 7-12 Zoo City Lad gets into the race with no weight, a good gate and OK recent form. I also expect 8-1 Soul Diva to go close in the last at Sandown. She's a real mile specialist with a 4/5 record at the trip
Friday, January 26, 2007
SELECTIONS - 26 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Albany 4-2 Strong Force [13,17]
Randwick 3-3 Illuminates [18]
Wangaratta 6-1 Charoar [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Albany 6-1
Caulfield 5-7
Randwick 3-3
Wangaratta 4-1, 5-1
(* updates after final details at Albany - UPDATE with POOMA *)
Comments: Happy Australia Day. Wave the flag, sing the anthem, drink some beer, scoff a pie, BBQ some lamb and have a bit of a punt. Doesn't get any more Aussie than that. A happy Republic Day to our Indian friends, as well. Oliver's ride on El Segundo is the only thing that got the horse home in the Carlyon Stks last night. If Oli had have been on last spring then the horse would have won the Cox Plate for sure. In last night's race I have no doubt that Gauci would have hooked wide on the corner (his normal style on the horse) and steamed into 2nd or 3rd place with everyone talking about what a top run it was over an unsuitable distance. Bugger that. If you are an owner you want it to win. Pencil him in for the Australian Cup. Our POOMA last night, Patiencenvision had a perfect run in the race, was under pressure 600m out and plodded home from there in a performance not worthy of the great Might And Power's colours. Randwick 3-3 Illuminates has been good to us, as she's been a two time POOMA and scored both times at $6.40 and $3. This is a pretty sharp field and I have a bit of a query about her at 1100m. With the Waterhouse, Freedman and Hayes stables represented there's a fair chance we'll get some good value and that's what it's all about. At Wangaratta today, 6-1 Charoar comes from a system that's kicked off '07 on a bit of a downer. Fortunately, our horse doesn't know that. He's in good form, will sit close to the speed and be a good chance. I like the quinella with 6-El Veloz. It's the time of year when the good horses return for the Autumn carnival and it'll be good to see Haradasun at Caulfield. He is the best galloper in the country, in my opinion, and I really hope he's recovered 100% from his leg injury. There's absolutely no pace in the race so he wouldn't want to be giving a good horse like Churchill Downs much of a start from the top of the straight.
Albany 4-2 Strong Force [13,17]
Randwick 3-3 Illuminates [18]
Wangaratta 6-1 Charoar [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Albany 6-1
Caulfield 5-7
Randwick 3-3
Wangaratta 4-1, 5-1
(* updates after final details at Albany - UPDATE with POOMA *)
Comments: Happy Australia Day. Wave the flag, sing the anthem, drink some beer, scoff a pie, BBQ some lamb and have a bit of a punt. Doesn't get any more Aussie than that. A happy Republic Day to our Indian friends, as well. Oliver's ride on El Segundo is the only thing that got the horse home in the Carlyon Stks last night. If Oli had have been on last spring then the horse would have won the Cox Plate for sure. In last night's race I have no doubt that Gauci would have hooked wide on the corner (his normal style on the horse) and steamed into 2nd or 3rd place with everyone talking about what a top run it was over an unsuitable distance. Bugger that. If you are an owner you want it to win. Pencil him in for the Australian Cup. Our POOMA last night, Patiencenvision had a perfect run in the race, was under pressure 600m out and plodded home from there in a performance not worthy of the great Might And Power's colours. Randwick 3-3 Illuminates has been good to us, as she's been a two time POOMA and scored both times at $6.40 and $3. This is a pretty sharp field and I have a bit of a query about her at 1100m. With the Waterhouse, Freedman and Hayes stables represented there's a fair chance we'll get some good value and that's what it's all about. At Wangaratta today, 6-1 Charoar comes from a system that's kicked off '07 on a bit of a downer. Fortunately, our horse doesn't know that. He's in good form, will sit close to the speed and be a good chance. I like the quinella with 6-El Veloz. It's the time of year when the good horses return for the Autumn carnival and it'll be good to see Haradasun at Caulfield. He is the best galloper in the country, in my opinion, and I really hope he's recovered 100% from his leg injury. There's absolutely no pace in the race so he wouldn't want to be giving a good horse like Churchill Downs much of a start from the top of the straight.
Thursday, January 25, 2007
SELECTIONS - 25 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Moonee Valley 3-13 Paitiencenvision [16]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
(* Updates after Pinjarra details are through - UPDATED *)
Comments: 1 from 3 yesterday returning $3. At Ipswich, Buckbeak worked to the lead but always looked vulnerable to something charging late and that's how it turned out, running 2nd as a $2.50 favourite in what I thought was a bit of a weak effort. Next up at Port Lincoln and Boy John started odds on, went down on his nose at the start giving up a few lengths to the field, worked hard but couldn't finish off. The old marvel, Cardiac Arrest, won yet another race at the track, his 15th from 43 goes. Blind Power then got our money back at Ascot with a nice win following a top rode by Pike. A POOMA cropped up at MV after final details were in, which I wasn't expecting. 3-13 Paitiencenvision sneaks in on the limit into a race that's probably pretty suitable after three good runs from a spell when he's got home hard each time. Doesn't have much of a winning record so I wouldn't be taking less than $3.50 but he really is well placed.
Moonee Valley 3-13 Paitiencenvision [16]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
(* Updates after Pinjarra details are through - UPDATED *)
Comments: 1 from 3 yesterday returning $3. At Ipswich, Buckbeak worked to the lead but always looked vulnerable to something charging late and that's how it turned out, running 2nd as a $2.50 favourite in what I thought was a bit of a weak effort. Next up at Port Lincoln and Boy John started odds on, went down on his nose at the start giving up a few lengths to the field, worked hard but couldn't finish off. The old marvel, Cardiac Arrest, won yet another race at the track, his 15th from 43 goes. Blind Power then got our money back at Ascot with a nice win following a top rode by Pike. A POOMA cropped up at MV after final details were in, which I wasn't expecting. 3-13 Paitiencenvision sneaks in on the limit into a race that's probably pretty suitable after three good runs from a spell when he's got home hard each time. Doesn't have much of a winning record so I wouldn't be taking less than $3.50 but he really is well placed.
Wednesday, January 24, 2007
SELECTIONS - 24 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Ascot 6-4 Blind Power [20]
Ipswich 2-1 Buckbeat [13]
Port Lincoln 7-2 Boy John [3]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 1-2
Comments: Boy John turns up again as a POOMA and is selected by the same system that picked him to win a few weeks back. His whole career has been at Port Lincoln and he's been in amazing recent form, winning 6 of his last 7 and getting beaten a wart in the other. He keeps rising in weight relative to his competition and keeps beating them so let's hope he can carry the 59kg to victory today. Ascot 6-4 Blind Power won really nicely up at Bunbury last time and is well placed to open his account at this track. Ipswich 2-1 Buckbeat probably isn't very well weighted given that his three career wins have been at Chinchilla, Mt Perry and Warra but he's got high speed and will be in front for a fair way. Ascot 1-2 Westerly Breeze comes from that 40%+ s/r non-POOMA last start winner system I mentioned recently. This horse settled back off them last time, same as it did at Pinjarra, and rounded them up to win contemptuously. She really does look to be an up and comer in the style of a horse like Belle Bizarre early in her career. A runner from my black book is also running around today. Port Lincoln 3-6 Yoshi's Opal kicked off her career in a 1200m 3YO Class 2 event, dropped out the back early and steamed home for 2nd. It was an impressive run but I don't know why she's running in an 1000m Class 1 when there's a 1200m Maiden on the card. Maybe trainer Angelo thinks his other horse can win that event.
Ascot 6-4 Blind Power [20]
Ipswich 2-1 Buckbeat [13]
Port Lincoln 7-2 Boy John [3]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 1-2
Comments: Boy John turns up again as a POOMA and is selected by the same system that picked him to win a few weeks back. His whole career has been at Port Lincoln and he's been in amazing recent form, winning 6 of his last 7 and getting beaten a wart in the other. He keeps rising in weight relative to his competition and keeps beating them so let's hope he can carry the 59kg to victory today. Ascot 6-4 Blind Power won really nicely up at Bunbury last time and is well placed to open his account at this track. Ipswich 2-1 Buckbeat probably isn't very well weighted given that his three career wins have been at Chinchilla, Mt Perry and Warra but he's got high speed and will be in front for a fair way. Ascot 1-2 Westerly Breeze comes from that 40%+ s/r non-POOMA last start winner system I mentioned recently. This horse settled back off them last time, same as it did at Pinjarra, and rounded them up to win contemptuously. She really does look to be an up and comer in the style of a horse like Belle Bizarre early in her career. A runner from my black book is also running around today. Port Lincoln 3-6 Yoshi's Opal kicked off her career in a 1200m 3YO Class 2 event, dropped out the back early and steamed home for 2nd. It was an impressive run but I don't know why she's running in an 1000m Class 1 when there's a 1200m Maiden on the card. Maybe trainer Angelo thinks his other horse can win that event.
Tuesday, January 23, 2007
SELECTIONS - 23 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Warracknabeal 2-4, 6-15, 7-7
Comments: 0 from 2 yesterday. Our first POOMA, Actuate, demonstrated why bookies drive Mercs and BMWs. It started even money because it looked like getting a soft lead. When that didn't happen it was an $8 shot and ended up running like a $25 shot. I did warn against taking the short price. It's not much of an animal. Cha Cha With Me then sat three deep in the Moruya Cup, pulled its arse out and weakened to finish at the rear, leaving me with somewhat charred fingers. There's nothing worth backing today as far as I can see. A few non-POOMA selections at Warracknabeal and they'd have to be half a chance in spite of the fact that I haven't had a system pick a winner at Warracknabeal from 7 goes (though the return of $11 for three placegetters shows they were a fair price).
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Warracknabeal 2-4, 6-15, 7-7
Comments: 0 from 2 yesterday. Our first POOMA, Actuate, demonstrated why bookies drive Mercs and BMWs. It started even money because it looked like getting a soft lead. When that didn't happen it was an $8 shot and ended up running like a $25 shot. I did warn against taking the short price. It's not much of an animal. Cha Cha With Me then sat three deep in the Moruya Cup, pulled its arse out and weakened to finish at the rear, leaving me with somewhat charred fingers. There's nothing worth backing today as far as I can see. A few non-POOMA selections at Warracknabeal and they'd have to be half a chance in spite of the fact that I haven't had a system pick a winner at Warracknabeal from 7 goes (though the return of $11 for three placegetters shows they were a fair price).
Monday, January 22, 2007
SELECTIONS - 22 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Moruya 6-14 Cha Cha With Me [1]
Sale 5-3 Actuate [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
Comments: 1 from 2 yesterday returning $3.20. A nice rails hugging ride from Peter Robl got Young Doctor home with enough to spare at Kilmore and in the last at Port Macquarie I thought that we were really unlucky with Doctor Wu which was held up for some considerable distance in the straight before getting clear too late and charging to a close 5th. A couple of POOMAs on an otherwise typically quiet Monday afternoon. Moruya 6-14 Cha Cha With Me jumps straight into an Open race after an easy Class 2 win last time. She was less than a second outside the track record that day and, significantly, ran more than a second faster than the Narooma Cup over the same trip from which a number of today's rivals emerge (1,3,4,7,8,9,10,11). The step up in trip looks OK, as she's by Jade Robbery, and I reckon she's going to be a terrific e/w chance even if she is only having her 6th start. Sale 5-3 Actuate is in good recent form since a spell and gets his chance in an average field. He should lead them up and be hard to run down but I won't be taking the odds on pre-post price about a horse that's won 2 from 18.
Moruya 6-14 Cha Cha With Me [1]
Sale 5-3 Actuate [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
Comments: 1 from 2 yesterday returning $3.20. A nice rails hugging ride from Peter Robl got Young Doctor home with enough to spare at Kilmore and in the last at Port Macquarie I thought that we were really unlucky with Doctor Wu which was held up for some considerable distance in the straight before getting clear too late and charging to a close 5th. A couple of POOMAs on an otherwise typically quiet Monday afternoon. Moruya 6-14 Cha Cha With Me jumps straight into an Open race after an easy Class 2 win last time. She was less than a second outside the track record that day and, significantly, ran more than a second faster than the Narooma Cup over the same trip from which a number of today's rivals emerge (1,3,4,7,8,9,10,11). The step up in trip looks OK, as she's by Jade Robbery, and I reckon she's going to be a terrific e/w chance even if she is only having her 6th start. Sale 5-3 Actuate is in good recent form since a spell and gets his chance in an average field. He should lead them up and be hard to run down but I won't be taking the odds on pre-post price about a horse that's won 2 from 18.
Sunday, January 21, 2007
SELECTIONS - 21 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Kilmore 5-8 Young Doctor [8,12]
Port Macquarie 7-10 Doctor Wu [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Kilmore 6-5
Pakenham 2-1, 2-9
Wyong 8-3
Comments: 1 from 2 yesterday returning $3.60. I was very happy when I saw a fair amount of pace in Count Vladimir's race, as that allowed him to settle out the back and power over them late. He has good ability and can win one of those Class 3 midweekers in town. Our other POOMA, Bianomour, had a terrific run in the race, got out in plenty of time but couldn't reach the leader and eventually got run over to finish 4th in a disappointing performance. A couple of doctors for the POOMAs today starting with Kilmore 5-8 Young Doctor. This Tom Dabernig trained mare has struck form by winning her last two starts over shorter trips, the last of which was at this track. The step up in trip is suitable and my only concern is that she's by Jeune and the track is rated dead. It's not a breed that is generally too happy in the wet. The two systems that picked her make their 2007 debut today. Port Macquarie 7-10 Doctor Wu is an in and out customer that is yet to rise to any great heights as a racehorse. Fortunately for our chances, that statement applies to the rest of the field, as well, so from gate 1 he'll get a chance to be in the finish.
Kilmore 5-8 Young Doctor [8,12]
Port Macquarie 7-10 Doctor Wu [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Kilmore 6-5
Pakenham 2-1, 2-9
Wyong 8-3
Comments: 1 from 2 yesterday returning $3.60. I was very happy when I saw a fair amount of pace in Count Vladimir's race, as that allowed him to settle out the back and power over them late. He has good ability and can win one of those Class 3 midweekers in town. Our other POOMA, Bianomour, had a terrific run in the race, got out in plenty of time but couldn't reach the leader and eventually got run over to finish 4th in a disappointing performance. A couple of doctors for the POOMAs today starting with Kilmore 5-8 Young Doctor. This Tom Dabernig trained mare has struck form by winning her last two starts over shorter trips, the last of which was at this track. The step up in trip is suitable and my only concern is that she's by Jeune and the track is rated dead. It's not a breed that is generally too happy in the wet. The two systems that picked her make their 2007 debut today. Port Macquarie 7-10 Doctor Wu is an in and out customer that is yet to rise to any great heights as a racehorse. Fortunately for our chances, that statement applies to the rest of the field, as well, so from gate 1 he'll get a chance to be in the finish.
Saturday, January 20, 2007
SELECTIONS - 20 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Kembla Grange 5-1 Count Vladimir [13]
Sandown 8-3 Bianomour [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 1-1
Eagle Farm 8-7
Gold Coast 6-6
Gunnedah 1-12
Randwick 3-6
Victoria Park 1-4
Comments: I got myself to the last leg of the Doomben quaddie yesterday with the first three legs paying $23/$5/$11 and then ran 2nd in the last leg from 5 chances so that was more than a little annoying, especially as the 2nd one was paying over $10K, the lowest of the dividends. I learned my lesson with Flexi betting quite quickly and don't take any bet for less than a $0.50 unit. Kembla Grange 5-1 Count Vladimir got home hard to win narrowly last time. That race was run at a dawdling pace and he did a good job to arrive in the last hop. He's up in weight and class this time so I don't at all like the look of the prepost odds on price. Sandown 8-3 Bianomour looks ideally placed at a track where he's 3/3 and if the rain comes then his chances improve even more. I expect a couple of roughies to run OK in that race, Hunter's Rest and Dream The Dream so I'll put them into multiples.
Kembla Grange 5-1 Count Vladimir [13]
Sandown 8-3 Bianomour [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 1-1
Eagle Farm 8-7
Gold Coast 6-6
Gunnedah 1-12
Randwick 3-6
Victoria Park 1-4
Comments: I got myself to the last leg of the Doomben quaddie yesterday with the first three legs paying $23/$5/$11 and then ran 2nd in the last leg from 5 chances so that was more than a little annoying, especially as the 2nd one was paying over $10K, the lowest of the dividends. I learned my lesson with Flexi betting quite quickly and don't take any bet for less than a $0.50 unit. Kembla Grange 5-1 Count Vladimir got home hard to win narrowly last time. That race was run at a dawdling pace and he did a good job to arrive in the last hop. He's up in weight and class this time so I don't at all like the look of the prepost odds on price. Sandown 8-3 Bianomour looks ideally placed at a track where he's 3/3 and if the rain comes then his chances improve even more. I expect a couple of roughies to run OK in that race, Hunter's Rest and Dream The Dream so I'll put them into multiples.
Friday, January 19, 2007
SELECTIONS - 19 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Doomben 3-1
Comments: 1 from 3 yesterday returning $5.30. I was happy with the price available for Apple Crumble in the first at Geelong, as the backing had come for the Mayfield-Smith trained first starter, Embracing. I saw that one's trial and wasn't overly impressed even though it won so thought that Rich Forever was the danger to us. Unfortunately, it was too good by a bit over a length. At Coffs Harbour, Heavenly Glow was strongly backed on course but ran like a three-legged centipede to finish unplaced behind one that was heavily backed on the TAB. It was then down to our last POOMA, Miss Hijinx, at Canterbury. She went for an absolute bath in the betting but defied the drift and arrived in the last hop paying $5.30. She got out to an SP of $7.50 after opening around $4.50 but she didn't know that punters were against her, bless her mighty, David Hayes' trained heart. The non-POOMA yesterday also managed to get home at a useful $16, which helped me to the quaddie at Geelong. A very boring day today and there's not much that excites me. You would think that Queanbeyan 5-1 Halo's Choice would be able to win. He has 59kg and steps up to 1200m but it's not likely that any of his opposition could get within 5L of Desert Lad. The non-POOMA today, Doomben 3-1 Fergal, comes from a system that's currently dead on 40% s/r but doesn't generate much of a profit. If form means anything then there's a potential running double at Ballarat in 1-3 and 2-1. Trigonometry ran 3rd to Swain's World last time and they're both well placed. Our previous $12 POOMA winner, Miss Aristocrat, runs around in race 3 there and is up against the filly she defeated, Ana's Mail, from the Hayes' stable. She meets that horse a couple of kilos worse and Craig Williams has the ride on Tease Me so you'd think that horse would probably start favourite.
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Doomben 3-1
Comments: 1 from 3 yesterday returning $5.30. I was happy with the price available for Apple Crumble in the first at Geelong, as the backing had come for the Mayfield-Smith trained first starter, Embracing. I saw that one's trial and wasn't overly impressed even though it won so thought that Rich Forever was the danger to us. Unfortunately, it was too good by a bit over a length. At Coffs Harbour, Heavenly Glow was strongly backed on course but ran like a three-legged centipede to finish unplaced behind one that was heavily backed on the TAB. It was then down to our last POOMA, Miss Hijinx, at Canterbury. She went for an absolute bath in the betting but defied the drift and arrived in the last hop paying $5.30. She got out to an SP of $7.50 after opening around $4.50 but she didn't know that punters were against her, bless her mighty, David Hayes' trained heart. The non-POOMA yesterday also managed to get home at a useful $16, which helped me to the quaddie at Geelong. A very boring day today and there's not much that excites me. You would think that Queanbeyan 5-1 Halo's Choice would be able to win. He has 59kg and steps up to 1200m but it's not likely that any of his opposition could get within 5L of Desert Lad. The non-POOMA today, Doomben 3-1 Fergal, comes from a system that's currently dead on 40% s/r but doesn't generate much of a profit. If form means anything then there's a potential running double at Ballarat in 1-3 and 2-1. Trigonometry ran 3rd to Swain's World last time and they're both well placed. Our previous $12 POOMA winner, Miss Aristocrat, runs around in race 3 there and is up against the filly she defeated, Ana's Mail, from the Hayes' stable. She meets that horse a couple of kilos worse and Craig Williams has the ride on Tease Me so you'd think that horse would probably start favourite.
Thursday, January 18, 2007
SELECTIONS - 18 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Canterbury 3-1 Miss Hijinx [18]
Coffs Harbour 3-5 Heavenly Glow [18]
Geelong 1-5 Apple Crumble [18]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Geelong 7-8
(* Updates for Pinjarra when final info is through - UPDATED *)
Comments: Our POOMA yesterday, Carnegie Prince, was off the bit well before the corner and had to be ridden hard to pick up and get 2nd. He's by Carnegie and is clearly looking for more ground. The two I mentioned at Perth from a 40% system duly saluted. Campo Di Grano showed them a clean pair of heels and was in front until the 1002m mark so it was lucky it was only a 1000m race. He will be hard to place, as he looks to have no scope. In stark contrast, Westerly Breeze settled off the pace, as suggested she would, and went whoosh in the straight. She's up to much better. The run of the 2nd horse in that, Chachi, having his first start was notable and he shouldn't be far from his Maiden. I had to remind myself why that system didn't make the cut for the POOMAs, which was because it has so few selections - less than one per week - but it does have a 21/51 live record at 24% POT. I'll refer to it in future as "that last start winner in 7 days" system. Today's POOMAs come from my 2YO system and they look like strong chances. Geelong 1-5 Apple Crumble ran home OK behind a $12 winning POOMA last time (from the same system, as it happens) and will be good value in the small field with Rich Forever likely to start $1.60 or so. Coffs Harbour 3-5 Heavenly Glow won nicely at Taree last time though I'd have to say that if one of the first starters can gallop a bit then it must be a chance. Canterbury 3-1 Miss Hijinx comes out of a couple of very strong races behind Danehill Smile, beaten less than 4L each time, and she must be a strong chance tonight.
Canterbury 3-1 Miss Hijinx [18]
Coffs Harbour 3-5 Heavenly Glow [18]
Geelong 1-5 Apple Crumble [18]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Geelong 7-8
(* Updates for Pinjarra when final info is through - UPDATED *)
Comments: Our POOMA yesterday, Carnegie Prince, was off the bit well before the corner and had to be ridden hard to pick up and get 2nd. He's by Carnegie and is clearly looking for more ground. The two I mentioned at Perth from a 40% system duly saluted. Campo Di Grano showed them a clean pair of heels and was in front until the 1002m mark so it was lucky it was only a 1000m race. He will be hard to place, as he looks to have no scope. In stark contrast, Westerly Breeze settled off the pace, as suggested she would, and went whoosh in the straight. She's up to much better. The run of the 2nd horse in that, Chachi, having his first start was notable and he shouldn't be far from his Maiden. I had to remind myself why that system didn't make the cut for the POOMAs, which was because it has so few selections - less than one per week - but it does have a 21/51 live record at 24% POT. I'll refer to it in future as "that last start winner in 7 days" system. Today's POOMAs come from my 2YO system and they look like strong chances. Geelong 1-5 Apple Crumble ran home OK behind a $12 winning POOMA last time (from the same system, as it happens) and will be good value in the small field with Rich Forever likely to start $1.60 or so. Coffs Harbour 3-5 Heavenly Glow won nicely at Taree last time though I'd have to say that if one of the first starters can gallop a bit then it must be a chance. Canterbury 3-1 Miss Hijinx comes out of a couple of very strong races behind Danehill Smile, beaten less than 4L each time, and she must be a strong chance tonight.
Wednesday, January 17, 2007
SELECTIONS - 17 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Wyong 4-5 Carnegie Prince [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 2-1, 3-10
Sandown 4-3
Wyong 2-10
(* Any updates at Ascot after final details are through there - there are some potential POOMAs - UPDATED and nope, no POOMAs *)
Comments: Wyong 4-5 Carnegie Prince always had the race in control when winning his Maiden at Newcastle last time. The Carnegie breed always get better with time and the step up in trip will suit. Ascot 2-1 Campo Di Grano and 3-10 Westerly Breeze come from a non-POOMA system that has a near 40% strike rate and 20% profit since going live. It didn't quite make the cut for the 2007 POOMA systems. Campo Di Grano is unbeaten away from the city and is yet to win in the city but gets his chance today in the weakest field he's met so far in town. Note that he could become a POOMA after final details are in. Westerly Breeze ran home well at her first start from back in the field for 3rd and then ran a similar race at Pinjarra when steaming home from near the rear to win easily. The outside gate will mean she'll end up going back again and if she shows the same dash as last time then will be there at the end. Hardhearted Hanna is running at Wyong today in race 6. I mentioned her run two starts ago before her Canterbury run when she worked outside the speed and finished 4th. If she can lead and get an 'easy' couple of furlongs then she'll be hard to run down. The favourite in that race, Desert Lad, looks very good and it won't be a wide quaddie leg for me.
Wyong 4-5 Carnegie Prince [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 2-1, 3-10
Sandown 4-3
Wyong 2-10
(* Any updates at Ascot after final details are through there - there are some potential POOMAs - UPDATED and nope, no POOMAs *)
Comments: Wyong 4-5 Carnegie Prince always had the race in control when winning his Maiden at Newcastle last time. The Carnegie breed always get better with time and the step up in trip will suit. Ascot 2-1 Campo Di Grano and 3-10 Westerly Breeze come from a non-POOMA system that has a near 40% strike rate and 20% profit since going live. It didn't quite make the cut for the 2007 POOMA systems. Campo Di Grano is unbeaten away from the city and is yet to win in the city but gets his chance today in the weakest field he's met so far in town. Note that he could become a POOMA after final details are in. Westerly Breeze ran home well at her first start from back in the field for 3rd and then ran a similar race at Pinjarra when steaming home from near the rear to win easily. The outside gate will mean she'll end up going back again and if she shows the same dash as last time then will be there at the end. Hardhearted Hanna is running at Wyong today in race 6. I mentioned her run two starts ago before her Canterbury run when she worked outside the speed and finished 4th. If she can lead and get an 'easy' couple of furlongs then she'll be hard to run down. The favourite in that race, Desert Lad, looks very good and it won't be a wide quaddie leg for me.
Tuesday, January 16, 2007
SELECTIONS - 16 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Echuca 5-1
(* Updates for Mt Barker when final info comes through - UPDATED*)
Comments: Another boring day. I expect 6-1 Alexander's Honour to go well at Tamworth even from the wide gate.
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Echuca 5-1
(* Updates for Mt Barker when final info comes through - UPDATED*)
Comments: Another boring day. I expect 6-1 Alexander's Honour to go well at Tamworth even from the wide gate.
Monday, January 15, 2007
SELECTIONS - 15 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
...and no non-POOMAs either
Comments: A win and a 2nd yesterday returning $4.70 so that was OK. Nothing at all exciting at today's meetings. At Nowra, 4-1 Shovel The Ice should be called Shovel The Cash...into bookies' bank accounts, as it's started favourite at each of its 6 starts - 5/4, 9/10, 9/4, 2/1, 9/10 & 5/4 - and is now trying to win a Maiden with 59kg. 7-4 Mightygaze might run well in the last and be a bit of value.
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
...and no non-POOMAs either
Comments: A win and a 2nd yesterday returning $4.70 so that was OK. Nothing at all exciting at today's meetings. At Nowra, 4-1 Shovel The Ice should be called Shovel The Cash...into bookies' bank accounts, as it's started favourite at each of its 6 starts - 5/4, 9/10, 9/4, 2/1, 9/10 & 5/4 - and is now trying to win a Maiden with 59kg. 7-4 Mightygaze might run well in the last and be a bit of value.
Sunday, January 14, 2007
SELECTIONS - 14 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Hobart 9-2 Forbidden Quest [14]
Strathalbyn 5-5 Kelis [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Sunshine Coast 2-10
(* If there are any updates at Geraldton then I'll post them before the first there *)
Comments: Only 1 from 5 yesterday, which surprised me quite a bit as I was very confident when I analysed the selections. The non-POOMAs got the job done to return a slim profit on the day. The results over the last week have really trimmed down the POOMA profit so let's hope today's selections can do the right thing for us. Hobart 9-2 Forbidden Quest has won comfortably at his last two starts and he looks particularly well placed. Strathalbyn 5-5 Kelis drops back to F&M class today but even so is not spectacularly well handicapped against Wingspiel and Grand Title, which have beaten her home when they've previously met. She's third up from a spell and should race handy so should look a chance at the 200m. I won't be taking less than $5 though.
Hobart 9-2 Forbidden Quest [14]
Strathalbyn 5-5 Kelis [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Sunshine Coast 2-10
(* If there are any updates at Geraldton then I'll post them before the first there *)
Comments: Only 1 from 5 yesterday, which surprised me quite a bit as I was very confident when I analysed the selections. The non-POOMAs got the job done to return a slim profit on the day. The results over the last week have really trimmed down the POOMA profit so let's hope today's selections can do the right thing for us. Hobart 9-2 Forbidden Quest has won comfortably at his last two starts and he looks particularly well placed. Strathalbyn 5-5 Kelis drops back to F&M class today but even so is not spectacularly well handicapped against Wingspiel and Grand Title, which have beaten her home when they've previously met. She's third up from a spell and should race handy so should look a chance at the 200m. I won't be taking less than $5 though.
Saturday, January 13, 2007
SELECTIONS - 13 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Gold Coast 2-7 Illuminates [7]
Gold Coast 5-3 Kaphero [9]
Sapphire Coast 1-2 Mullitover [7]
Sapphire Coast 2-1 Comesca [2,11]
Sapphire Coast 6-6 Ready To Strike [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Caulfield 1-1, 3-3
Gold Coast 4-4, 6-2, 6-13, 7-10, 8-1, 9-10
Kembla Grange 5-4
Morphettville 4-3
Rosehill 2-5
Sapphire Coast 5-7
Toowoomba 4-4, 5-1, 5-2
Gold Coast 2-7 Illuminates [7]
Gold Coast 5-3 Kaphero [9]
Sapphire Coast 1-2 Mullitover [7]
Sapphire Coast 2-1 Comesca [2,11]
Sapphire Coast 6-6 Ready To Strike [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Caulfield 1-1, 3-3
Gold Coast 4-4, 6-2, 6-13, 7-10, 8-1, 9-10
Kembla Grange 5-4
Morphettville 4-3
Rosehill 2-5
Sapphire Coast 5-7
Toowoomba 4-4, 5-1, 5-2
(* POOMAs are up early due to selections at Sapphire Coast, which kicks off at 10.55AM. Updates for other meetings and WA at the usual times - UPDATED - a poor start at the Sapphire Coast. Let's hope the Gold variety can do better *)
Comments: 1 from 3 yesterday returning a skinny $1.70. The one from my favourite system, Preceptor, raced too close to the pace for my liking and ran out of puff in the straight. Lots of good races today. At the Gold Coast I think that quality will stand up. 2-7 Illuminates has a lot of speed and has dodged the Magic Millions, which he was qualified for. He should win this race. 5-3 Kaphero is a 3YO up against older horses but is pretty well treated on the limit weight. I'll be looking for even money or better. 6-2 Publishing looks the right horse at the right time and I expect him to win. The Magic Millions is always a race won by the best horse. Look through the field and see whether there's one that looks likely to be in the mix for the Blue Diamond and/or Golden Slipper and that's the pick. For me, that's 8-1 Husson Lightning. He has all of the credentials needed to win and I'd suggest we're going to get value, as I've assessed him at $2.50.
Comments: 1 from 3 yesterday returning a skinny $1.70. The one from my favourite system, Preceptor, raced too close to the pace for my liking and ran out of puff in the straight. Lots of good races today. At the Gold Coast I think that quality will stand up. 2-7 Illuminates has a lot of speed and has dodged the Magic Millions, which he was qualified for. He should win this race. 5-3 Kaphero is a 3YO up against older horses but is pretty well treated on the limit weight. I'll be looking for even money or better. 6-2 Publishing looks the right horse at the right time and I expect him to win. The Magic Millions is always a race won by the best horse. Look through the field and see whether there's one that looks likely to be in the mix for the Blue Diamond and/or Golden Slipper and that's the pick. For me, that's 8-1 Husson Lightning. He has all of the credentials needed to win and I'd suggest we're going to get value, as I've assessed him at $2.50.
Friday, January 12, 2007
SELECTIONS - 12 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Moonee Valley 4-4 Preceptor [19]
Rockhampton 5-3 Private Dogde [10]
Rockhampton 6-1 Sequalo Blue [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Port Macquarie 5-2
(* Any updates at MV after info is in - updated with POOMA *)
Comments: Gee, it was a disappointing run from Ironside yesterday even if he did have to do a bit of work out wide. He might be one of those horses that have to be kept fresh. The two POOMAs at Rockhampton today both come from a system with an expected s/r of 30%. Its live performance is over 40% and that disparity is large enough to suggest it's due for a bit of a drought, which might start with 5-3 Private Dogde, as he doesn't look especially well in and his only win came at Emerald. 6-1 Sequalo Blue has racked up a hat trick of wins and looks a strong chance to make it four in a row today. However, I won't be taking odds on, as it jumps in weight and class. The selection at MV, 4-4 Preceptor, comes from my all time favourite system that went live on 28/6/04 and has a 28/57 record since then at 110% profit. It's an even field and he must be a chance. There's more interest there for me, as he's a Laurel Oak Syndicate horse, which I've had horses with over the years including crack sprinter, Into The Night, and multiple city winner, Gangbuster.
There are a few running at Randwick that I reckon will be a chance today at fair odds starting with 4-4 Annjolino, which goes well at this track and should be around $4.50; 5-6 Spinraad is one I've mentioned before. He is a true duffer in the wet, nearly falling two runs back before spinning his wheels up the straight at Kembla last time on the slow track. He drops in grade and weight and I reckon is going to be a terrific e/w chance. The old marvel, 7-1 Centre Fire, is really well placed, will be right on the pace and look the winner at some point.
Moonee Valley 4-4 Preceptor [19]
Rockhampton 5-3 Private Dogde [10]
Rockhampton 6-1 Sequalo Blue [10]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Port Macquarie 5-2
(* Any updates at MV after info is in - updated with POOMA *)
Comments: Gee, it was a disappointing run from Ironside yesterday even if he did have to do a bit of work out wide. He might be one of those horses that have to be kept fresh. The two POOMAs at Rockhampton today both come from a system with an expected s/r of 30%. Its live performance is over 40% and that disparity is large enough to suggest it's due for a bit of a drought, which might start with 5-3 Private Dogde, as he doesn't look especially well in and his only win came at Emerald. 6-1 Sequalo Blue has racked up a hat trick of wins and looks a strong chance to make it four in a row today. However, I won't be taking odds on, as it jumps in weight and class. The selection at MV, 4-4 Preceptor, comes from my all time favourite system that went live on 28/6/04 and has a 28/57 record since then at 110% profit. It's an even field and he must be a chance. There's more interest there for me, as he's a Laurel Oak Syndicate horse, which I've had horses with over the years including crack sprinter, Into The Night, and multiple city winner, Gangbuster.
There are a few running at Randwick that I reckon will be a chance today at fair odds starting with 4-4 Annjolino, which goes well at this track and should be around $4.50; 5-6 Spinraad is one I've mentioned before. He is a true duffer in the wet, nearly falling two runs back before spinning his wheels up the straight at Kembla last time on the slow track. He drops in grade and weight and I reckon is going to be a terrific e/w chance. The old marvel, 7-1 Centre Fire, is really well placed, will be right on the pace and look the winner at some point.
Thursday, January 11, 2007
SELECTIONS - 11 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Eagle Farm 8-1 Ironside [13,14]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Bunbury 5-6
Crambourne 5-6, 7-2
Eagle Farm 8-6
(* Any updates for Bubury after information comes through there - no updates *)
Comments: 2 from 2 yesterday and it was another of those days where both winners were never in trouble. Maltese was a terrific result in the first at Warwick Farm paying $2.60 in the small field, which she brained by 4L. The Waterhouse trained Euro Chic was backed into near favourite but if you saw its last trial then you couldn't have come at it today. Its presence gave us another $1 on the dividend. De Castella worked to the front and always had his race under control, getting home by over 2L at a handy $2.90.
Eagle Farm 8-1 Ironside went into my black book after his 2nd two runs back and then did the right thing by scoring easily at the Gold Coast when coming from near last on the turn. He is an impressive looking galloper and the step up to a mile, good barrier and weight after the claim all mean he's very well placed and should go very close.
The two Cranbourne selections come from systems with 40% strike rates that are a bit iffy profit-wise. Bunbury 5-6 comes from a system that's 9/41 (22%) at a 22% profit. I can't work out whether it's going to end up as a decent, working system but every time I think about culling it, out pops a winner so its last 30 days are profitable, as are its last 90. I'll give it another 100 selections and see where it's at.
Eagle Farm 8-1 Ironside [13,14]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Bunbury 5-6
Crambourne 5-6, 7-2
Eagle Farm 8-6
(* Any updates for Bubury after information comes through there - no updates *)
Comments: 2 from 2 yesterday and it was another of those days where both winners were never in trouble. Maltese was a terrific result in the first at Warwick Farm paying $2.60 in the small field, which she brained by 4L. The Waterhouse trained Euro Chic was backed into near favourite but if you saw its last trial then you couldn't have come at it today. Its presence gave us another $1 on the dividend. De Castella worked to the front and always had his race under control, getting home by over 2L at a handy $2.90.
Eagle Farm 8-1 Ironside went into my black book after his 2nd two runs back and then did the right thing by scoring easily at the Gold Coast when coming from near last on the turn. He is an impressive looking galloper and the step up to a mile, good barrier and weight after the claim all mean he's very well placed and should go very close.
The two Cranbourne selections come from systems with 40% strike rates that are a bit iffy profit-wise. Bunbury 5-6 comes from a system that's 9/41 (22%) at a 22% profit. I can't work out whether it's going to end up as a decent, working system but every time I think about culling it, out pops a winner so its last 30 days are profitable, as are its last 90. I'll give it another 100 selections and see where it's at.
Wednesday, January 10, 2007
SELECTIONS - 10 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Gold Coast 4-1 De Castella [10]
Warwick Farm 1-3 Maltese [18]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Sandown 4-7, 5-2
Pinjarra 6-3
Warwick Farm 5-1
Comments: 1 from 5 yesterday. We got off to a poor start with Townsville race 3 in which the two selections could only manage a 3rd between them in what was a rough house affair that saw Spacely fall at the 150m mark. 10 minutes later and Cool World failed by a wart to land the big end of the prize at Stawell in what was a good effort at his first try at 2000m. Back Of House then overcame a big weight and step up in trip to score well though I thought the $4.10 was too short. A couple of hours later Telepathic proved that its last run 2nd was a fluke when it was a well beaten favourite at Albany. Slight loss for the day and the POOMA results are now heading to where I expect them long term - 36% strike rate at 20% profit. Gold Coast 4-1 De Castella comes off a couple of 2nds, will sit handy and go pretty close though I wouldn't be taking less than about $2.80. Warwick Farm 1-3 Maltese won well as an odds on favourite first up at Hawkesbury before beginning badly, working up outside the leader and weakening into 5th beaten 7.4L by Mimi Lebrock, which people are talking about as a contender for the major races in the spring. Will be good to see the old warrior and international jumps champions, Karasi, resume racing in the last at Sandown.
Gold Coast 4-1 De Castella [10]
Warwick Farm 1-3 Maltese [18]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Sandown 4-7, 5-2
Pinjarra 6-3
Warwick Farm 5-1
Comments: 1 from 5 yesterday. We got off to a poor start with Townsville race 3 in which the two selections could only manage a 3rd between them in what was a rough house affair that saw Spacely fall at the 150m mark. 10 minutes later and Cool World failed by a wart to land the big end of the prize at Stawell in what was a good effort at his first try at 2000m. Back Of House then overcame a big weight and step up in trip to score well though I thought the $4.10 was too short. A couple of hours later Telepathic proved that its last run 2nd was a fluke when it was a well beaten favourite at Albany. Slight loss for the day and the POOMA results are now heading to where I expect them long term - 36% strike rate at 20% profit. Gold Coast 4-1 De Castella comes off a couple of 2nds, will sit handy and go pretty close though I wouldn't be taking less than about $2.80. Warwick Farm 1-3 Maltese won well as an odds on favourite first up at Hawkesbury before beginning badly, working up outside the leader and weakening into 5th beaten 7.4L by Mimi Lebrock, which people are talking about as a contender for the major races in the spring. Will be good to see the old warrior and international jumps champions, Karasi, resume racing in the last at Sandown.
Tuesday, January 09, 2007
SELECTIONS - 9 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Albany 3-10 Telapathic [7]
Stawell 4-1 Cool World [13,14]
Townsville 3-5 Jazzoom [15]
Townsville 3-7 Mister Stevens [15]
Townsville 5-1 Back Of House [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
Comments: At Townsville we have a rare situation where two selections have come from the same high-performing system. 3-5 Jazzoom and 3-7 Mister Stevens look to be two of the three chances (along with Fasliyitsa) in the race and I have a leaning to the latter, which looks like it will cross and lead from its wide gate. Townsville 5-1 Back Of House, won nicely last start from a wide gate but hasn't won past 1000m and has to cart 59kg so I'd be wanting at least $6 before getting interested. He has carried 60kg to be placed twice before but this looks a reasonable field. The Albany selection comes from one of my most reliable systems that's been jogging along at a strike rate of 50% for quite a while. However, 3-10 Telepathic seems to be one that will test the ability of this system today. Her form reads 0000092, which is not typically what one likes to see. However, when I've potted this system before it's made a mug of me so we'll see how she goes. Stawell 4-1 Cool World has squeaked home at his last two runs for today's jockey, Neville Wilson, and steps up to the 2000m for the first time today. He's been kept to sprints for most of his career but seems to have enjoyed stepping up to the mile at his last two runs. He's by Danehill's full brother, Nuclear Freeze, so you'd think the 2000m wouldn't be a problem. Going against him are the facts that he's up in class, up in weight and up in distance so I'll be looking for a price of around $3.20. There seem to be a few negatives for the selections today so getting good value is going to be important.
Albany 3-10 Telapathic [7]
Stawell 4-1 Cool World [13,14]
Townsville 3-5 Jazzoom [15]
Townsville 3-7 Mister Stevens [15]
Townsville 5-1 Back Of House [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Nil
Comments: At Townsville we have a rare situation where two selections have come from the same high-performing system. 3-5 Jazzoom and 3-7 Mister Stevens look to be two of the three chances (along with Fasliyitsa) in the race and I have a leaning to the latter, which looks like it will cross and lead from its wide gate. Townsville 5-1 Back Of House, won nicely last start from a wide gate but hasn't won past 1000m and has to cart 59kg so I'd be wanting at least $6 before getting interested. He has carried 60kg to be placed twice before but this looks a reasonable field. The Albany selection comes from one of my most reliable systems that's been jogging along at a strike rate of 50% for quite a while. However, 3-10 Telepathic seems to be one that will test the ability of this system today. Her form reads 0000092, which is not typically what one likes to see. However, when I've potted this system before it's made a mug of me so we'll see how she goes. Stawell 4-1 Cool World has squeaked home at his last two runs for today's jockey, Neville Wilson, and steps up to the 2000m for the first time today. He's been kept to sprints for most of his career but seems to have enjoyed stepping up to the mile at his last two runs. He's by Danehill's full brother, Nuclear Freeze, so you'd think the 2000m wouldn't be a problem. Going against him are the facts that he's up in class, up in weight and up in distance so I'll be looking for a price of around $3.20. There seem to be a few negatives for the selections today so getting good value is going to be important.
Monday, January 08, 2007
SELECTIONS - 8 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Wangaratta 5-1
Comments: 0 from 2 yesterday with neither winner looking likely to do the job for us.
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Wangaratta 5-1
Comments: 0 from 2 yesterday with neither winner looking likely to do the job for us.
Sunday, January 07, 2007
SELECTIONS - 7 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
Geelong 4-1 Leonardo [14]
Pinjarra 4-1 Polish Reign [17]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Gilgandra 5-1
Pinjarra 4-5
(* If there are any updates after Pinjarra details come through then I'll post before race 1 there - UPDATED with POOMA *)
Comments: Yesterday was 'one of those days' where I went close to some good results but ended up sans cigar (I might use that as a horse name one day). I had the Ascot quaddie running in the last leg with 5 chances and ran a neck 2nd, which was painful as the divvie was over $7K. Anyhoo, we struck well with that non-POOMA 50%+ s/r system at Mornington when both selections lobbed at $3.20 and $2.60. It might join the ranks of the POOMAs in 2008 if it continues at its expected rate. Geelong 4-1 Leonardo has returned from a spell in good form, finding the line hard twice to record narrow wins in Maiden and Class 2 company, and the step up in trip looks ideal. This is a Class 3 race but only one of the six runners has won three races so it's probably not much different to his last race.
Off Topic: reports overnight from the USA that a wild hog weighing eleven hundred pounds has been killed in a suburb if the state of Georgia. If it's true then the hog weighs about the same as a horse!
Geelong 4-1 Leonardo [14]
Pinjarra 4-1 Polish Reign [17]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Gilgandra 5-1
Pinjarra 4-5
(* If there are any updates after Pinjarra details come through then I'll post before race 1 there - UPDATED with POOMA *)
Comments: Yesterday was 'one of those days' where I went close to some good results but ended up sans cigar (I might use that as a horse name one day). I had the Ascot quaddie running in the last leg with 5 chances and ran a neck 2nd, which was painful as the divvie was over $7K. Anyhoo, we struck well with that non-POOMA 50%+ s/r system at Mornington when both selections lobbed at $3.20 and $2.60. It might join the ranks of the POOMAs in 2008 if it continues at its expected rate. Geelong 4-1 Leonardo has returned from a spell in good form, finding the line hard twice to record narrow wins in Maiden and Class 2 company, and the step up in trip looks ideal. This is a Class 3 race but only one of the six runners has won three races so it's probably not much different to his last race.
Off Topic: reports overnight from the USA that a wild hog weighing eleven hundred pounds has been killed in a suburb if the state of Georgia. If it's true then the hog weighs about the same as a horse!
Saturday, January 06, 2007
SELECTIONS - 6 January 2007
POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Mornington 4-1, 8-7
Morphettville 4-1
Rosehill 2-2
Sandown 2-2
Comments: 2 from 2 yesterday with both winners at Port Lincoln doing the job easily by more than 2L and starting a bit shorter than I would have preferred but I can't complain too much about the $5.30 return. There doesn't look to be much worth backing today and it is probably a day where most of the winners will be in the $6-$10 range, as most of the fields look quite even, which will make market moves more significant. The two Mornington selections come from the same system, which hasn't had many selections but is performing in line with expectations of 50% s/r so maybe one of them can get home today. Sandown 2-2 and Morphettville 4-1 both come from 40%+ s/r systems that have had a lot of live selections but only return a slim profit. There's not much I like running but I'll be keen to see how Pluto Pup performs at Rosehill. As people know, I have a fair opinion of the horse and he has not been ridden to advantage at his last two runs, which include a rare poor ride from Darren Beadman. He'll be suited by the step up in trip and the bigger Rosehill track.
There are no POOMA selections today
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Mornington 4-1, 8-7
Morphettville 4-1
Rosehill 2-2
Sandown 2-2
Comments: 2 from 2 yesterday with both winners at Port Lincoln doing the job easily by more than 2L and starting a bit shorter than I would have preferred but I can't complain too much about the $5.30 return. There doesn't look to be much worth backing today and it is probably a day where most of the winners will be in the $6-$10 range, as most of the fields look quite even, which will make market moves more significant. The two Mornington selections come from the same system, which hasn't had many selections but is performing in line with expectations of 50% s/r so maybe one of them can get home today. Sandown 2-2 and Morphettville 4-1 both come from 40%+ s/r systems that have had a lot of live selections but only return a slim profit. There's not much I like running but I'll be keen to see how Pluto Pup performs at Rosehill. As people know, I have a fair opinion of the horse and he has not been ridden to advantage at his last two runs, which include a rare poor ride from Darren Beadman. He'll be suited by the step up in trip and the bigger Rosehill track.
2007 SELECTION STRATEGY
It's amazing to think that the POOMAs have been going for more than two years. To remind people why they exist, the tips are posted publicly in order to drive improvement in my selection processes. In that time I've worked out a lot of things that don't work but there are also some gems in there and those are the systems that I'll be using exclusively for the entire year of 2007. I've picked out 20 systems that I won't add to but if the wheels fall off any of them then I'll withdraw them from use. There should be about 10 selections per week. Selections in Western Australia will be posted before the first race when info is available from there, which is later than the eastern state selections. Therefore, 2007 will be an entirely mechanical system year.
Selections will be formatted as follows:
Werribee 1-5 Spring Drinks [1,3]
The number/s in brackets are the system that the selection comes from. Some selections come from multiple systems so you'll see more than one system number. I'll post results at the end of each month and we'll see how things turn out.
Selections will be formatted as follows:
Werribee 1-5 Spring Drinks [1,3]
The number/s in brackets are the system that the selection comes from. Some selections come from multiple systems so you'll see more than one system number. I'll post results at the end of each month and we'll see how things turn out.
Friday, January 05, 2007
SELECTIONS - 5 January 2007
POOMA selections:
Port Lincoln 2-7 La Peru [3]
Port Lincoln 7-5 Boy John [3]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Swan Hill 2-1, 6-3
Comments: Only 1 from 4 yesterday returning $2.40. I commented that I'd be surprised if Saffir Simpson got beaten but the closer it got to the race the less I liked its chances so I didn't back it even though it got out to good odds. It really doesn't look to be much of a horse. Irish Najaba was also never a chance at Colac, running disappointingly to finish last. Today's POOMAs are both at Port Lincoln. 2-7 La Peru is creeping up to a win. She's still a Maiden after 15 runs though her past 4 runs since moving from NSW to SA have been OK including a last start 4th in Class 1 company. 7-5 Boy John has won 5 of his last 6 at Port Lincoln and was beaten a wart in the other. He'll need to overcome a wide gate but that'll just make the price better.
Port Lincoln 2-7 La Peru [3]
Port Lincoln 7-5 Boy John [3]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Swan Hill 2-1, 6-3
Comments: Only 1 from 4 yesterday returning $2.40. I commented that I'd be surprised if Saffir Simpson got beaten but the closer it got to the race the less I liked its chances so I didn't back it even though it got out to good odds. It really doesn't look to be much of a horse. Irish Najaba was also never a chance at Colac, running disappointingly to finish last. Today's POOMAs are both at Port Lincoln. 2-7 La Peru is creeping up to a win. She's still a Maiden after 15 runs though her past 4 runs since moving from NSW to SA have been OK including a last start 4th in Class 1 company. 7-5 Boy John has won 5 of his last 6 at Port Lincoln and was beaten a wart in the other. He'll need to overcome a wide gate but that'll just make the price better.
Thursday, January 04, 2007
SELECTIONS - 4 January 2007
POOMA selections:
Canterbury 1-1 Saffir Simpson [18]
Colac 3-5 Irish Najaba [10]
Mackay 2-3 Heavenly Cruise [11]
Mackay 5-6 Craiglea Warrior [16]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Colac 5-5
Yarra Glen 2-13
Comments: A useful result yesterday with the win of Miss Aristocrat at $12 giving the 2007 POOMAs an early kick along. Hellbound Lujain then led, as expected, but got caught in the last hop. At Colac today, 3-5 Irish Najaba should get a good suck along behind mad leader, Bella's Bro, and Furious Dee and have her chance to run them down. She's pretty well placed. At Mackay, 2-3 Heavenly Cruise is in good recent form and is very well placed in this set weights event. 5-6 Craiglea Warrior's form looks a tad weak being X648190- but if you take out the runs its had down in SE Qld (metro, Gold Coast etc) and look at the form in FNQ then it reads 2311131, which is a tad more impressive. He does get back and steam home so he'll need the race to be run at better than a dawdle, which it should be with a few that go along a bit in front. Up in Sydney it would be a bit of a surprise if 1-1 Saffir Simpson got beaten but he'll probably be about $1.70, which is a tad short for me. In the last race there, if 7-11 Hardhearted Hanna can handle the slow track then she'll go close. She ran well last time when leading from a wide gate. Yarra Glen 2-13 Pinnacles drew 11 of 14 at his only start, worked to the lead and was beaten less than 3 lengths. The winner of that race then went to MV and ran 2nd, the runner up then ran 2nd in a Kilmore Maiden and the 3rd placegetter was well beaten in a 0-68 Restricted race before winning his Maiden last run so that's a reasonable form reference for this lesser quality race. He should improve from his better draw and go close depending on how good the first starters are. BTW - I never let the presence of a short price first starter put me off my bet, as all it does is increase the value I get.
Canterbury 1-1 Saffir Simpson [18]
Colac 3-5 Irish Najaba [10]
Mackay 2-3 Heavenly Cruise [11]
Mackay 5-6 Craiglea Warrior [16]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Colac 5-5
Yarra Glen 2-13
Comments: A useful result yesterday with the win of Miss Aristocrat at $12 giving the 2007 POOMAs an early kick along. Hellbound Lujain then led, as expected, but got caught in the last hop. At Colac today, 3-5 Irish Najaba should get a good suck along behind mad leader, Bella's Bro, and Furious Dee and have her chance to run them down. She's pretty well placed. At Mackay, 2-3 Heavenly Cruise is in good recent form and is very well placed in this set weights event. 5-6 Craiglea Warrior's form looks a tad weak being X648190- but if you take out the runs its had down in SE Qld (metro, Gold Coast etc) and look at the form in FNQ then it reads 2311131, which is a tad more impressive. He does get back and steam home so he'll need the race to be run at better than a dawdle, which it should be with a few that go along a bit in front. Up in Sydney it would be a bit of a surprise if 1-1 Saffir Simpson got beaten but he'll probably be about $1.70, which is a tad short for me. In the last race there, if 7-11 Hardhearted Hanna can handle the slow track then she'll go close. She ran well last time when leading from a wide gate. Yarra Glen 2-13 Pinnacles drew 11 of 14 at his only start, worked to the lead and was beaten less than 3 lengths. The winner of that race then went to MV and ran 2nd, the runner up then ran 2nd in a Kilmore Maiden and the 3rd placegetter was well beaten in a 0-68 Restricted race before winning his Maiden last run so that's a reasonable form reference for this lesser quality race. He should improve from his better draw and go close depending on how good the first starters are. BTW - I never let the presence of a short price first starter put me off my bet, as all it does is increase the value I get.
Wednesday, January 03, 2007
SELECTIONS - 3 January 2007
POOMA selections:
Bendigo 2-9 Miss Aristocrat [18]
Wyong 6-2 Hellbound Lujain [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Eagle Farm 1-2, 3-15
Strathalbyn 6-5
Comments: Wyong 6-2 Hellbound Lujain started 40/1 last time, flew out of gate 12 last time to lead, steamed along in front, didn't slow down and won by nearly three lengths in a time only 0.15 outside the track record (on a day when times were quick). That first up performance was in stark contrast to its only other preparation, which was moderate at best. If he runs up to that effort then he'll repeat the dose in this. Bendigo 2-9 Miss Aristocrat has run a couple of even races and gets into a field where the first starters look, on face value, to be better over longer - except for Freedman's Catbird filly, Vankedisi. With the Hayes' runner, Ana's Mail, likely to start favourite our pick might be an OK price. I was unimpressed with Ana's Mail's run last time and she would need to improve a lot to win here. Always possible in the Hayes' camp, of course.
Bendigo 2-9 Miss Aristocrat [18]
Wyong 6-2 Hellbound Lujain [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Eagle Farm 1-2, 3-15
Strathalbyn 6-5
Comments: Wyong 6-2 Hellbound Lujain started 40/1 last time, flew out of gate 12 last time to lead, steamed along in front, didn't slow down and won by nearly three lengths in a time only 0.15 outside the track record (on a day when times were quick). That first up performance was in stark contrast to its only other preparation, which was moderate at best. If he runs up to that effort then he'll repeat the dose in this. Bendigo 2-9 Miss Aristocrat has run a couple of even races and gets into a field where the first starters look, on face value, to be better over longer - except for Freedman's Catbird filly, Vankedisi. With the Hayes' runner, Ana's Mail, likely to start favourite our pick might be an OK price. I was unimpressed with Ana's Mail's run last time and she would need to improve a lot to win here. Always possible in the Hayes' camp, of course.
Tuesday, January 02, 2007
SELECTIONS - 2 January 2007
POOMA selections:
Rockhampton 6-1 Role Of Ned [2,11]
Rockhampton 8-2 Pacific Sea [13]
Stony Creek 1-1 Rough Night [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Rockhamptom 1-10, 6-3
Stony Creek 2-1, 3-1, 4-2, 8-4
Rockhampton 6-1 Role Of Ned [2,11]
Rockhampton 8-2 Pacific Sea [13]
Stony Creek 1-1 Rough Night [13]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Rockhamptom 1-10, 6-3
Stony Creek 2-1, 3-1, 4-2, 8-4
Monday, January 01, 2007
SELECTIONS - 1 January 2007
POOMA selections:
Ascot 5-11 Vintrack [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 5-11, 6-13
Gold Coast 3-15
Inverell 8-1
Randwick 1-2
Terang 2-9, 7-2
Victoria Park 1-1, 4-2
Ascot 5-11 Vintrack [1]
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Ascot 5-11, 6-13
Gold Coast 3-15
Inverell 8-1
Randwick 1-2
Terang 2-9, 7-2
Victoria Park 1-1, 4-2
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