SELECTIONS - 31 December 2005

Canterbury 3-3 Attainable [28/32.1%/121%]
Moonee Valley 1-6 Melania [104/34.6%/36%]
Moonee Valley 2-4 Sojustrememberthis [32/31.3%/42%]
Moonee Valley 3-1 California Dane [104/34.6%/36%]
Moonee Valley 5-6 Can Lago [32/31.3%/42%]

SELECTIONS - 30 December 2005

There are no POOMA selections today.

Scone 2-6 should go OK and in the good mares' race at Toowoomba I think that Princess Margaret will go close to leading all of the way with Star Of Asia the danger.

SELECTIONS - 29 December 2005

Kilmore 6-4 Gracious Curves [103/35.0%/37%]

SELECTIONS - 28 December 2005

Canterbury 1-1 Rendzina [27/44.4%/67%]
Sandown 3-6 Jugah's Star [99/34.3%/32%]
Sandown 4-2 Bejeekers [99/34.3%/32%]
Sandown 5-5 Blue Royalty [99/34.3%/32%]
Sandown 7-2 Kepola [99/34.3%/32%]

SELECTIONS - 27 December 2005

Port Lincoln 5-1 Frequent [21/61.9%/58%]

SELECTIONS - 26 December 2005

Flemington 6-2 Butten Shaw [97/35.1%/35%]
Geelong 6-7 Xaarbella [97/35.1%/35%]
Launceston 7-14 Braequest [32/37.5%/13%]
Randwick 4-1 Pulsator [25/44.0%/74%]
Randwick 8-6 Tempura [27/33.3%/129%]

MERRY CHRISTMAS

Merry Christmas to all POOMA fans.

Have a safe holiday and let's all look forward to Santa bringing us a 'How To Bet' book for Christmas.

SELECTIONS - 24 December 2005

Sandown 2-1 Fun In Flight [21/28.6%/128%]
Sandown 2-4 Jumlah [24/41.7%/67%]
Sandown 5-1 Be Delicious [95/35.1%/35%]
Sandown 6-7 Tristo [95/35.1%/35%]
Sandown 7-3 Breezy [31/32.3%/43%]
Warwick Farm 1-3 Nexgen [32/37.5%/42%]

SELECTIONS - 23 December 2005

Moonee Valley 1-5 Alto Adige [47/46.8%/68%]
Moonee Valley 3-7 Magically [91/34.1%/33%]
Moonee Valley 5-3 Ellenbank [91/34.1%/33%]
Moonee Valley 8-8 Recline [91/34.1%/33%]

Chances at Mackay are: 2-1, 2-4, 4-1, 6-4

SELECTIONS - 22 December 2005

There are no POOMA selections today

I'll be anchoring my Kyneton quaddie with 9-7 Ragsak.

SELECTIONS - 21 December 2005

Bendigo 2-1 Westbury Grove [91/34.1%/33%]
Ipswich 3-5 Missoni [46/45.7%/66%]

SELECTIONS - 20 December 2005

Townsville 2-2 Pawie [41/26.8%/10%]
Townsville 6-1 Al Faiq [41/26.8%/10%]
Townsville 6-8 Verillion [41/26.8%/10%]
Wangaratta 1-1 Commander Monash [31/38.7%/17%]

SELECTIONS - 19 December 2005

Narromine 5-1 Chief Resident [29/41.4%/25%]
Sale 8-10 Aisle [29/41.4%/25\%]

SELECTIONS - 18 December 2005

Cranbourne 3-1 Borradaile [24/41.7%/12%]
Cranbourne 3-14 Feathertop [102/11.8%/105%]
Cranbourne 7-2 Rainier [89/34.6%/36%]
Horsham 8-1 Cygnet Lane [89/34.6%/36%]
Launceston 7-4 Braequest [27/40.7%/26%]
Sunshine Coast 5-2 Jay Dee Rocks [27/40.7%/26%]

The new system that's now 4/4 comes up with Horsham 7-1.

* Updated 2PM *

SELECTIONS - 17 December 2005

Colac 9-1 Elle's Angel [84/34.5%/36%]
Flemington 1-2 Trictrac [22/45.5%/82%]
Flemington 2-1 Reignforest [84/34.5%/36%]
Flemington 2-3 Exclusivity [84/34.5%/36%]
Flemington 3-3 Maxarelle [84/34.5%/36%]
Flemington 5-7 Rokocoko [30/33.3%/51%]
Flemington 7-1 Forest Spy [84/34.5%/36%]
Gold Coast 2-2 Global Thunder [40/27.5%/13%]
Randwick 3-5 Twist Contest [22/45.5%/82%]
Randwick 7-1 Bromide [53/32.1%/19%]
Randwick 8-10 Smart Maxie [53/32.1%/19%]

A terrific result from the systems that are yet to qualify as POOMAs with 3/3 including a $90 SuperTAB winner at Canterbury. Others today from systems that are yet to qualify are Randwick 6-8 and Victoria Park 5-6.

SELECTIONS - 16 December 2005

Canberra 6-8 Sorbeaux [40/30.0%/87%]
Sunshine Coast 4-1 Eminence Grand [40/30.0%/87%]
Sunshine Coast 5-2 Our Light [38/26.3%/12%]
Sunshine Coast 8-1 Feline Artistry [38/26.3%/12%]

Another of the newer systems yet to qualify as a POOMA, which is 7/12 at 99% pot, selects Darwin 3-1. There's one from a ruffies' system in Canterbury 2-9 and I'm tracking the form of a couple of Victorian trainers, Moody and Freedman, which throws up MV 5-2.

SELECTIONS - 15 December 2005

Geraldton 3-2 Emerald Dancer [26/42.3%/30%]
Rockhampton 1-1 Chelseann [34/26.5%/14%]
Rockhampton 3-1 Cambooya [34/26.5%/14%]
Rockhampton 6-9 Intuitive Lad [34/26.5%/14%]
Rockhampton 7-4 She's Decent [34/26.5%/14%]

One of the new systems that's only had three selections picks Rockhampton 4-2. It's currently 100% win s/r.

SELECTIONS - 14 December 2005

Port Lincoln 5-1 Summergo [25/44.0%/36%]
Sandown 2-2 Tenfold [82/35.4%/39%]
Sandown 2-6 Florizel [82/35.4%/39%]
Sandown 3-3 Miss Theron [26/34.6%/138%]

Others that should go well:

Port Lincoln 2-6
Sandown 5-1

SELECTIONS - 13 December 2005

Kilmore 8-1 California Bay [81/35.8%/41%]
Tamworth 7-3 Elusive Angel [37/37.8%/19%]

Other selections:

Kilmore 8-2
Townsville 3-6,8,10
Townsville 4-1
Townsville 5-8
Townsville 6-2,8,11

SELECTIONS - 12 December 2005

There are no POOMA selections today

SELECTIONS - 11 December 2005

Ballarat 2-3 Jock O The Side [79/35.4%/42%]
Ballarat 6-5 Dynamite Miss [79/35.4%/42%]

Selections are early today, as I'm heading out on holiday. I'll update at about 3PM if I get a chance.

** UPDATED **

SELECTIONS - 10 December 2005

Ascot 6-8 Belle Bizarre [22/36.4%/21%]
Doomben 8-2 Minassi [61/34.4%/21%]
Sandown 2-5 Be Delicious [77/35.1%/40%]
Sandown 3-2 Change Of Class [77/35.1%/40%]
Sandown 3-5 Sojustrememberthis [28/32.1%/52%]
Sandown 7-10 Breezy [28/32.1%/52%]
Stony Creek 10-3 Dane Empire [40/30.0%/87%]

Others that I think will go well are:

Doomben 2-4, 5-2
Wagga 7-2

Note: looking up all of my tips since I started pubicly giving them I find that my record at Doomben is a shocking 1/29 with that solitary winner being on 15/12/2004. The current losing streak there is 25, which may not bode well for connections of Minassi! At the tracks where there are selections today I have the following record:

Ascot [14/35.7%/+14.3%]
Doomben [29/3.4%/-89.7%]
Sandown [44/27.3%/+15.0%]
Stony Creek [4/25.0%/-57.5%]

SELECTIONS - 9 December 2005

Darwin 1-2 Gatto Uccello [38/31.6%/97%]
Moonee Valley 2-1 Flame Of Sydney [20/40.0%/78%]
Moonee Valley 5-3 Be Delicious [75/34.7%/40%]
Moonee Valley 5-6 Magically [75/34.7%/40%]
Moonee Valley 6-5 Ellenbank [75/34.7%/40%]
Mt Gambier 1-4 Raja Regent [38/31.6%/97%]
Rockhampton 7-2 Belle Jangles [38/31.6%/97%]

Others that I think will go well are:

Darwin 4-1 Kappa
Rockhampton 3-1 Smart Green
Rockhampton 5-1 Lea Lisa

SELECTIONS - 8 December 2005

There are no POOMA selections today.

Wyong 7-6 Super Savings should go close.

SELECTIONS - 7 December 2005

There are no POOMA selections today.

SELECTIONS - 6 December 2005

Geelong 2-2 Fantino [74/33.3%/39%]
Mackay 2-1 Cambooya [25/28.0%/29%]
Mackay 5-1 Tenzero [25/28.0%/29%]
Mackay 5-3 Foxy Babe [25/2.0%/29%]

SELECTIONS - 5 December 2005

Kyneton 8-1 Alto Adige [74/33.3%/39%]

SELECTIONS - 4 December 2005

Grafton 1-6 Grafton [98/12.2%/114%]
Grafton 2-14 Vienna Rose [98/12.2%/114%]
Launceston 3-2 Jadeica [98/12.2%/114%]
Launceston 3-7 Smashed [98/12.2%/114%]
Traralgon 3-2 Aqua Velva [72/33.3%/40%]
Traralgon 8-6 Our Bella Rossa [72/33.3%/40%]

Others that are from systems that don't yet qualify as POOMAs but might go well are:

Sunshine Coast 8-8
Launceston 1-4

SELECTIONS - 3 December 2005

Eagle Farm 5-7 Slick Operator [36/38.9%/22%]
Newcastle 8-4 Chevington [22/45.5%/37%]
Rosehill 1-1 Bahia [91/33.3%/15%]
Rosehill 2-3 Cheeky Choice [91/33.3%/15%]
Rosehill 2-12 Tantra [91/33.3%/15%]
Rosehill 4-2 Accolade [91/33.3%/15%]
Sandown 1-3 Expensively [69/31.9%/38%]
Toowoomba 7-9 Mel's Glory [22/45.5%/37%]

Others that are from systems that don't yet qualify as POOMAs but might go well are:

Ascot 6-4
Cheltenham 1-1
Rosehill 2-1
Tamworth 3-8
Tamworth 6-1

SELECTIONS - 2 December 2005

Moonee Valley 4-2 Special Package [66/33.3%/44%]
Moonee Valley 4-4 Conjoin [66/33.3%/44%]
Moonee Valley 7-11 Rainer [66/33.3%/44%]

SELECTIONS - 1 December 2005

Rockhampton 6-4 Happy Spot [25/28.0%/29%]

SELECTIONS - 30 November 2005

Sandown 4-1 Thin And Crispy [63/33.3%/46%]
Sandown 5-2 Be Delicious [63/33.3%/46%]
Sandown 7-5 Tommifrancs [63/33.3%/46%]

More updates if I get a chance. * UPDATED *

SELECTIONS - 29 November 2005

Townsville 2-3 Ripatrice [21/28.6%/40%]
Townsville 3-1 Lion Prince [21/28.6%/40%]
Townsville 5-1 Specjet [21/28.6%/40%]
Townsville 7-1 Pawie [21/28.6%/40%]

SELECTIONS - 28 November 2005

There are no POOMA selections today.

SELECTIONS - 27 November 2005

Wodonga 7-9 Super Celeb [13/23.1%/83%]
Wodonga 3-2 Elizabethan [55/36.4%/7%]

Unless there's a first starter with a lot of talent I'd expect 2 and 3 to run the quinella in Wodonga race 2. Obviously, the thing from the Moody camp would be well educated so it's got to go in but the rest have trialled in average time with maybe the 5 horse a chance. Box those in the trifecta.

I'll stand out Super Celeb in the first leg of the quaddie. He's got a 10-2-2 record, which includes the 4-0-0 wet track return that is typical of Peintre Celebre horses in that going.

Otherwise, it doesn't look like much of a day for having a bet.

SELECTIONS - 26 November 2005

Ascot 3-8 Our Grey Halo [34/38.2%/24%]
Eagle Farm 1-4 Very Canny [34/38.2%/24%]
Eagle Farm 5-18 My Son Day [12/25.0%/98%]
Moonee Valley 1-8 Londo [25/36.0%/147%]
Moonee Valley 4-1 California Dane [59/32.2%/51%]
Moonee Valley 5-1 Readyforcatherine [59/32.2%/51%]
Rosehill 3-7 Squatters [31/35.5%/42%]
Terang 2-3 Our Rifleman [59/32.2%/51%]

Ruffies at the Gold Coast 3-4, 4-4

SELECTIONS - 25 November 2005

Sandown 7-10 Baron Ruthven [21/47.6%/103%]

SELECTIONS - 24 November 2005

Bendigo 5-3 Dracs Back [58/32.8%/54%]
Rockhampton 1-6 Differential [16/31.3%/66%]
Rockhampton 2-9 Sailor Gal [16/31.3%/66%]
Rockhampton 6-1 Chelseann [16/31.3%/66%]
Rockhampton 7-2 Happy Spot [16/31.3%/66%]
Rockhampton 7-9 Robin The Frog [16/31.3%/66%]

Dracs Back annihilated them at Ararat last time by a shade under 10 lengths. His previous run that he won narrowly was outstanding and he looks a real up and comer. $7.50 pre-post? "Tell 'em they're dreamin'..."

I won't get a chance to update these after scratchings until after 2PM, if at all today.

SELECTIONS - 23 November 2005

Ascot 7-6 Storm Closure [45/44.4%/63%]
Ballarat 6-2 Captious [56/30.4%/49%]
Ipswich 8-1 Seven Crownies [21/47.6%/34%]

A couple of others that might go alright are Ascot 4-4 and Canterbury 4-3.

SELECTIONS - 22 November 2005

Sale 5-1 Alto Adige [56/30.4%/49%]
Townsville 4-10 Al Faiq [14/35.7%/90%]
Townsville 7-15 Verillion [14/35.7%/90%]

SELECTIONS - 21 November 2005

There are no POOMA selections today.

Lee Freedman will probably get a double at Kyneton with 1-8 & 4-5. Picking a quinella horse in the first is hard, as they're all pretty bad but I'll go for 6-King Clip and follow up with another Nikita Beriman mount in 10-Oh Me Oh My Oh You. Nikita's been on fire recently.

SELECTIONS - 20 November 2005

Dubbo 3-9 Highfield Road [11/27.3%/116%]
Geelong 4-2 Aspendale [54/31.5%/55%]
Yarra Glen 9-1 Sightseeker [54/31.5%/55%]

Ruffie in Geelong 3-3 Montechoro

SELECTIONS - 19 November 2005

Ascot 4-5 Tears Of Surprise [33/39.4%/28%]
Sandown 4-4 Change Of Class [53/32.1%/58%]
Sandown 6-8 Break The Vault [20/50.0%/114%]
Seymour 8-6 Smash 'N' Grab [21/42.9%/30%]

Selections from systems that are going well but don't yet qualify as POOMAs are:

Eagle Farm 2-2; 5-2
Kembla 6-2
Randwick 4-4

SELECTIONS - 18 November 2005

Darwin 3-5 Gatto Uccello [54/37.0%/9%]
Moonee Valley 4-5 Stormystormynight [44/45.5%/66%]
Moonee Valley 5-6 Whittier Miss [52/30.8%/54%]

SELECTIONS - 17 November 2005

Canterbury 7-3 Atee [18/38.9%/16%]
Cranbourne 5-6 Evilweb [23/43.5%/17%]
Pinjarra 4-1 Expedition [20/40.0%/26%]

SELECTIONS - 16 November 2005

Ballarat 3-8 Strabedient [49/32.7%/64%]
Ballarat 7-1 Tommifrancs [49/32.7%/64%]
Ballarat 8-3 True Courser [49/32.7%/64%]
Doomben 6-4 Mix [17/41.2%/18%]

SELECTIONS - 15 November 2005

Moe 8-6 Our Bella Rossa [48/33.3%/67%]

SELECTIONS - 14 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Kilmore 4-2 Besora [47/31.9%/65%]

I'll stand out 8-1 Aussie Humor in the last leg of the quaddie at Kilmore today, as well.

SELECTIONS - 13 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Ararat 4-1 Xaarbel [52/38.5%/13%]
Ararat 6-8 Chiak [52/38.5%/13%]
Ararat 7-1 Genesis [44/31.8%/66%]
Ararat 7-9 Sunshine Avenue [44/31.8%/66%]
Ararat 9-3 Drac's Back [44/31.8%/66%]

My old bloke, Cape Crusader, runs around at Canberra in race 7. He's way out of his class but goes really well at the course/distance. Forget his last run, as it was on the new all-weather surface at Canberra. He's hopeless on a wet track and the all-weather surface is too shifty for him. His last 3 runs at the over the course have netted a 5th, a 3rd and a rare win. He could lob a place with only 52kg.

SELECTIONS - 12 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Doomben 8-3 Testify [24/37.5%/158%]
Mornington 6-3 Mahr [40/30.0%/58%]
Rosehill 2-4 Ollie Vollie [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 5-1 Star Mystic [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 5-2 Enjoin [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 5-5 Lady Enzed [30/36.7%/47%]
Rosehill 6-7 Dress Suit [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 6-9 Tactfully [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 7-3 Proprietor [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 8-8 Te Deum [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 8-9 Top Of The Top [22/45.5%/21%]
Rosehill 8-13 Sky Right [22/45.5%/21%]
Sandown 1-2 I Command [40/30.0%/58%]
Sandown 1-4 Absolute Dream [19/52.6%/125%]
Sandown 4-5 Strata Title [15/33.3%/199%]
Sandown 4-8 Joie More [15/33.3%/199%]
Sandown 7-1 Testafiable [40/30.0%/58%]
Sandown 9-1 Irongail [15/33.3%/199%]
Sandown 9-6 Talons Shown [40/30.0%/58%]

SELECTIONS - 11 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Moonee Valley 2-2 Dance Plan [36/30.6%/56%]
Mooneey Valley 4-2 Precious Future [36/30.6%/56%]
Townsville 6-10 Global Magic [32/40.6%/32%]
Traralgon 4-7 Romantic Dane [51/39.2%/16%]
Traralgon 5-1 Miss Bombay [36/30.6%/56%]
Traralgon 9-2 Desert Scribe [36/30.6%/56%]
Warwick Farm 1-2 Elite [43/44.2%/58%]
Warwick Farm 3-3 Miss Judgement [85/31.8%/18%]

SELECTIONS - 10 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Werribee 5-3 Mregub [14/50.0%/66%]
Werribee 7-2 Breezy [14/50.0%/66%]
Werribee 8-2 Whiskey Straight [14/50.0%/66%]

Will update around lunchtime if I get a chance. ** UPDATED 1PM **

SELECTIONS - 9 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Bendigo 8-6 Miss Theron [35/31.4%/60%]

SELECTIONS - 8 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Terang 6-2 Raise An Empire [50/40.0%/18%]

Ruffies at Terang: 2-4, 2-17

SELECTIONS - 7 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Tatura 7-8 Whither Thou Goest [31/38.7%/18%]
Queanbeyan 7-8 Mind Square [49/38.5%/15%]

SELECTIONS - 6 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Cranbourne 4-1 Starzando [33/33.3%/70%]
Cranbourne 7-9 Rubiton Raider [33/33.3%/70%]
St Arnaud 5-3 Fragalistic [12/33.3%/29%]

SELECTIONS - 5 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Doomben 2-1 Rosco's Circus [12/41.7%/18%]
Flemington 2-1 Super Savings [12/41.7%/274%]
Flemington 4-2 Zipping [31/32.3%/75%]
Flemington 8-3 Sky Love [12/41.7%/274%]
Flemington 8-7 Storm Alert [12/41.7%/274%]
Geelong 9-4 Phoenix Aura [31/32.3%/75%]
Randwick 2-1 Zinzin [17/29.4%/35%]

My selections for all the races at a very hard Flemington program:

1 = 15, 4, 7
2 = 1, 8, 4
3 = 1, 3, 8
4 = 2, 3, 8
5 = 8, 1, 9
6 = 1, 8, 3
7 = 5, 2, 1
8 = 7, 11, 3
9 = 16, 18, 1

SELECTIONS - 4 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Stony Creek 4-7 Reignforest [48/37.5%/14%]
Stony Creek 6-12 Penworthan [30/33.3%/180%]

Rockhampton: 3-3, 4-3, 5-11, 6-1, 7-6 and 8-2

SELECTIONS - 3 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Flemington 3-1 Fullaz [25/32.0%/100%]
Flemington 4-9 Warshawsky [25/32.0%/100%]
Flemington 6-1 Serenade Rose [25/32.0%/100%]
Flemington 7-2 Brockman's Lass [25/32.0%/100%]
Pakenham 7-3 Aqua Velvet [25/32.0%/100%]
Port Lincoln 4-2 Export Power [47/36.2%/8%]
Port Lincoln 7-5 Eage Juan [15/60.0%/35%]

Ruffie at Albury 4-12.

SELECTIONS - 2 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Grafton 5-3 Five Cougars [46/37.0%/10%]
Grafton 6-6 Mermaids [17/35.3%/5%]
Kyneton 8-3 Solar Secret [17/35.3%/5%]

THE greatest mare EVER...!!!

I tipped against her. I backed against her. 58kg and stepping up from 2040m? Impossible, surely?

But at the 200m when she skipped clear I was cheering for her as hard as anything I've ever backed.

What a legend. A champion. An unbelievable performance.

I lost money on her but I don't care!

I'll have been pushing up the daisies for many a year before we see the like of it again. If ever.

Kingston Town's three Cox Plates still have him at the top of my tree. Makybe Diva overtakes the rest as the next best followed by Silent Witness, Sunline and Manikato.

A record crowd. A record result. Enough said.

An absolute legend. I tips me lid.

SELECTIONS - 1 November 2005

The criteria for November will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Flemington 3-12 Soi Cowboy [19/36.8%/144%]
Flemington 5-2 Line Account [19/36.8%/144%]
Flemington 7-1 Makybe Diva [19/36.8%/144%]
Flemington 7-7 Railings [19/36.8%/144%]
Flemington 8-14 Break The Vault [17/52.9%/139%]
Flemington 9-9 Drunken Joker [19/36.8%/144%]
Randwick 1-1 Rightson [10/50.0%/17%]

My selections for all races at Flemington today are:

1 = 3-8-15
2 = 8-4-9
3 = 5-1-12
4 = 2-10-11
5 = 2-3-8
6 = 8-3-4
7 = 6-7-21
8 = 14-10-3
9 = 9-16-15
10 = 16-8-7

2005 MELBOURNE CUP - PREVIEW

It's that time of the year again when supposed experts become mugs and mugs become heroes when they pick the winner of the Melbourne Cup.

Over the last 5 years the winners have come from gates 3, 7, 11, 14 & 22 so you don't need to worry about barrier too much. There always seems to be a roughy or two lob a place: Brew won in 2000 at $17/$5 with Second Coming ($6 place) 2nd and Persian Punch ($6) 3rd; in 2001 Give The Slip ran 2nd paying $12; in 2002 Mr Prudent ran 3rd paying $10, in 2003 when Makybe Diva won the first of her two Cups she beat home She's Archie $15 and Jardine's Lookout $13; and last year Zazzman somehow defied his previous aversion to wet tracks to grab 3rd paying $23 and killing all my multiples bets.

Given a dry track there are actually very few winning chances and, in my view, the winner will come from amongst the favourites. There has been a fair bit of controversy over the extra watering the track has received, which looks like it's been done to ensure that Makybe Diva and Vinnie Roe start. Rival trainers are somewhat up in arms about the perception of bias, which seems fair enough.

The great mare and defending champion, Makybe Diva, is going for a three-peat and will carry the weight of public support. She'll also carry the red, white and blue colours of Tony Santic. They represent a combination of Australia's colours and those of his native Croatia. She'll also carry 58kg, which is a heap of weight for a mare. She won the Cox Plate nicely last week but that was against a field of relative walkers. This race is actually quite a bit stronger (which underlines how poor our WFA horses are at present) and she'll have her work cut out. Unless it's wet I won't be including her anywhere on most of my multiples tickets.

Leica Falcon put in a strong effort in the Caulfield Cup, steaming home from last on the corner to run 5th. Many people thought he should have won that day. I didn't, as he poked along at the back and did bugger all, got a run through them at the right time and ran home. Watching the replays I don't think he picks up Railings even if they go another 200m. He is a lightweight hope, though, in the same way that Brew was in 2000.

After the Caulfield Cup I suggested that the quinella of Railings and Eye Popper would also run the quinella in the Melbourne Cup and nothing I've seen subsequently has made me change my mind.

Eye Popper's run in that race was unbelievable. To sit four wide for most of the trip, punch it out with the leaders, sprint clear with Mummify, head that horse, and then get picked up by Railings in the last couple of bounds was the biggest run by a losing horse in a Caulfield Cup I can remember (and that includes Shane Dye's rudderless effort on Veandercross in the 1992 Cup). What is more remarkable was that it was his first run from a spell. Eye Popper's Japanese form is exceptional. At his previous run he was 3rd under 58.5kg (WFA) in the 3200m Tenno Sho Spring (Group 1) with Makybe Diva in 7th spot. Prior to that he won a couple of Open Stakes races over 2200m and 3000m under 58kg and 56kg, and was then 2nd over 3018m in a G2 race with 57.5kg. His overall record reads 16 starts for 6 wins, 7 2nds and 1 3rd. He has the luxury weight of 54kg, meets Railings 2kg better and has drawn nicely in 9. The only issue is whether his jockey, Shinji Fujita, exhibits more patience than he did in the Caulfield Cup. He is my top pick in the race.

Railings is a real up and comer by super staying sire, Zabeel. He's only had 13 runs, which most old-timers would suggest is not enough to make him seasoned enough for the gruelling two miles of a Melbourne Cup. However, at his last three runs he's won the G3 Colin Stephen Quality, the G1 Metropolitan (coming from near last of 18 on the corner) and the G1 Caufield Cup when he just picked up Eye Popper. He took quite a while to settle in that race, which adds merit to the effort. John Hawkes has him right at the right time with the right form, right weight, right jockey and right barrier. He's my second pick.

For third I'll stick in Strasbourg who's rock hard fit and has had his preparation timed to perfection by the master, JB Cummings. He was drawing away from them on the line on Saturday and he looks like a horse that could sit near the pace and be tough to run down.

Complete rundown of the runners:

1-Makybe Diva as above. I think she's really up against it with the weight but I'm sure she'll run a big race.
2-Vinnie Roe is one of the best stayers ever to race here. He ran 4th under 59kg in 2002 behind stablemate, Media Puzzle, and ran 2nd in 2004 with 58kg behind Makybe Diva. He was a bit unlucky in both of those runs and I'm sure he'll run a big race again.
3-Distinction ran a nice 6th last year and has subsequently won a Group 2 race, which means his weight is up 2.5kg on last year. It would be a surprise if he featured.
4-Grey's Inn got lost in the Cox Plate and he'll be much better suited to the large track. Steps up to 2 miles for the first time but is by Zabeel so should stay all day. Would be a place chance at best.
5-Franklins Gardens looks the likely leader. These on-pace European stayers have done well previously, as demonstrated by Give The Slip, Second Coming and Jardine's Lookout. He looks to be well wieghted and well over the odds and I'll have him on some tickets.
6-Eye Popper is my top tip, as above.
7-Railings is my 2nd pick, as above.
8-Xcellent is certainly a talented racehorse with an amazing turn of foot. He's only had 8 runs and I'd prefer him to be a bit more seasoned and have performed well at a mile and a half. 20-1 seems under the odds to me.
9-Kindjhal definitely has a place hope. Doesn't seem to like finding the line too much, as shown by his 10 2nds from 25 starts with just 3 wins. With just 52.5kg he is very well placed and 125-1 looks way overs.
10-Hugs Dancer keeps running on but in weaker races. Would surprise me if he placed.
11-Demerger won the Adelaide Cup on her ear last preparation but hasn't come up that well since a spell. Fluker's hope only.
12-Dizelle looks up against it.
13-Lachlan River should stay the trip OK and ran well for 3rd on Saturday in the Mackinnon. Place chance at very best.
14-Portland Singha will also stay the trip OK but lacks the class of others. From the inside barrier should get a good run and might be a place chance.
15-Vouvray is officially sacked after her poor effort on Saturday. That said, she'll probably run 3rd and kill me.
16-On A Jeune is a reasonable stayer who steamed home to win the Geelong Cup. The form out of that race looks a bit suss and 50-1 looks about the right price.
17-Umbula is a tough on-pace runner who will be in a pretty good spot from his gate. Another with a fluker's hope of a place given he drops 4kg on his last start MV Gold Cup win.
18-Bazelle is an Auckland Cup winner by super sire, Zabeel. She was touched out in the MV Gold Cup and I'll stick her on my multiples tickets for a place.
19-Envoy ran 2nd in the Adelaide Cup but looks no hope here.
20-Rizon is a deadset plugger but a place would surprise.
21-Strasbourg is my 3rd pick, as above.
22-Leica Falcon, as above. I'll back against him, as I don't think he's seasoned enough for a race like this.
23-Mr Celebrity is a horse I've won a heap of money on. I'm not sure he's seasoned enough for this but does look like he'll get the trip and has no weight so I'll have him on my trifecta tickets.
24-Kamsky is trained by Bart Cummings, which is probably the only thing in his favour. 200-1 looks unders to me.

Summary of selections:

6-Eye Popper
7-Railings
21-Strasbourg
2-Vinnie Roe

SELECTIONS - 31 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Hamilton 3-8 Regal Rapt [18/38.9%/157%]

SELECTIONS - 30 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Colac 4-1 Dingle Bay [15/46.9%/209%]
Mornington 6-9 Besoora [15/46.9%/209%]
Mornington 10-4 Belzain [15/46.9%/209%]

Ruffies at Hobart: 3-2, 3-3, 3-5; 5-4, 5-8

SELECTIONS - 29 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Flemington 1-3 Testafiable [10/40.0%/104%]
Flemington 2-3 Ferocity [10/40.0%/104%]
Flemington 3-4 Mr Celebrity [15/60.0%/171%]
Flemington 4-1 Serenade Rose [10/40.0%/104%]
Flemington 8-9 Black Ink [15/60.0%/171%]
Flemington 9-12 Eltonjon [10/60.0%/104%]
Gold Coast 5-2 Cigallo [22/45.5%/22%]
Traralgon 6-1 Bellas Bro [10/40.0%/104%]

My personal picks for all Melbourne races:

1-8
2-1
3-6
4-1
5-1
6-1
7-10 (4th time lucky!)
8-5
9-8

SELECTIONS - 28 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Moonee Valley 3-2 Zigotto [42/45.2%/61%]
Moonee Valley 7-2 Byway [14/57.1%/163%]

Chances to: Ararat 7-1, 7-8; Toowoomba 7-5 (quinella 7).

SELECTIONS - 27 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Seymour 7-8 It's Delovely [16/37.5%/11%]

Selections are posted early. I'll update at around 1PM if I get a chance and there are any changes. *UPDATED*

Ruffies at Wagga: 1-2, 5-2

SELECTIONS - 26 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Eagle Farm 7-8 Stalwart Queen [22/36.4%/172%]
Werribee 1-2 Utility [11/54.5%/94%]
Werribee 5-2 Gallantree [11/54.5%/94%]
Werribee 9-2 High Academy [11/54.5%/94%]

Ruffies at Eagle Farm 2-13, Werribee 3-5, 3-12

I think that Pure Silence will win the Werribee Cup.

SELECTIONS - 25 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

There are no POOMA selections today.

Ruffies at Kilmore: 3-7; Rockhampton 5-12. One of the two got up yesterday and paid $16.

SELECTIONS - 24 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Lismore 7-5 Our Royal Star [45/37.8%/13%]

Ruffies at Lismore: 4-6, 4-9.