Wednesday, December 31, 2008

2008 - SUMMARY

Well, we snuck through with a $0.90 profit (NSW TAB) from 238 wins in 722 selections, which is better than losing but not by much.

Remarkably, all odd number months (Jan, Mar, May etc) were losers and all even number months were winners.

Our longest price winner was Viscount Grand, which lobbed at Townsville in April paying $17.50.

Our shortest price winner was De Lightning Ridge when she won her second start at Canberra at an impossibly unbackable $1.10.

The best performing system award probably goes to System 6, which achieved 33/76 for the year at 25.1% profit.

I'll be dropping some systems and introducing a couple of new ones for 2009.

SELECTIONS - 31 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Mt Barker 5-2 Tick Tock [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Gosford 5-4
Ipswich 7-5
Port Lincoln 1-2

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

SELECTIONS - 30 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Rockhampton 3-3 Miss Mulley [10]
Rockhampton 4-6 Irish Myth [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Nil

Comments: We're a massive $3.90 ahead for the year and look like staggering over the line in front though it would be good to get a winner and make a bird of it. December will finish in front for sure so our LWLWLWLWLWLW monthly record will be maintained.

Monday, December 29, 2008

SELECTIONS - 29 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Nil

Sunday, December 28, 2008

SELECTIONS - 28 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Canberra 3-1 Grand Rhumba [18]
Canberra 7-7 Be Mine Tonight [10]
Kilmore 6-7 Lost Oscar [10]
Naracoorte 5-3 Havanotherone [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Hobart 6-8
Sunshine Coast 6-2
Warrnambool 7-2

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Saturday, December 27, 2008

SELECTIONS - 27 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Gold Coast 6-1 De Business [6,7,10]
Kembla Grange 1-5 Fille Majestique [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ascot 2-1
Corowa 5-4
Doomben 5-1
Moonee Valley 6-8
Rosehill 5-6

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Friday, December 26, 2008

SELECTIONS - 26 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Caulfield 1-1 Mic Mac [8]
Caulfield 3-1 Rapid Sensation [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Newcastle 3-10
Pinjarra 6-7
Randwick 4-6

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Black Book: Caulfield 5-7 Moondancing has come through her grades with flying colours. Her only defeat was on a good track with her 4 wins coming on rain affected ground, which being by Fasliyev would suit her. This is a pretty good race but I think we'll get a good run today at nice odds.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

SELECTIONS - 24 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 5-5 La Montrachet [4,14]
Townsville 6-5 Highonrum [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ascot 1-12, 2-6
Wagga 6-2

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

SELECTIONS - 23 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Mackay 2-4

Monday, December 22, 2008

SELECTIONS - 22 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Nil

Sunday, December 21, 2008

SELECTIONS - 21 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Devonport 7-2 Black Glennoel [6]
Port Lincoln 4-4 Amen's Sea [7]
Port Lincoln 8-2 Putilla Princess [7]
Sunshine Coast 7-3 Laurels [6]
Taree 1-1 Le Rhythm [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Devonport 9-6
Horsham 8-7

(* Any updates for Pinjarra later on *)

Comments: We're 20 cents behind for the year so hopefully all of these can win and put us comfortably in front.

Saturday, December 20, 2008

SELECTIONS - 20 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 5-1 Le Bon Jeune [18]
Kembla Grange 7-2 Platinum Ruby [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ascot 7-8, 8-13
Doomben 2-3, 8-1
Gold Coast 5-2
Kembla Grange 6-1
Randwick 1-1

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Friday, December 19, 2008

SELECTIONS - 19 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ipswich 2-4 Kbenrenrun [8]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ipswich 5-3
Lismore 2-11
Moonee Valley 1-6

Thursday, December 18, 2008

SELECTIONS - 18 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Canterbury 7-1 Friday Nights [18]
Mt Barker 1-5 Pwakker's Back [10]
Queanbeyan 6-8 Ready To Go [6]
Queanbeyan 8-1 Granite Buff [6] - also a Roggie tip

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Kyneton 2-3
Queanbeyan 7-8
Rockhampton 2-5

(* Any updates for Mt Barker and Canterbury later on *)

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

SELECTIONS - 17 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 6-1 Fire Of Denmark [18]
Eagle Farm 8-6 Octahedron [4]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Eagle Farm 4-1
Sandown 6-1
Strathalbyn 6-1

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Black Book: Sandown 3-1 Crown Ruby has looked good in winning 5/7 with two first up wins. This is a pretty sharp field for a R0 race so I'd want $3+, which we probably won't get.

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

SELECTIONS - 16 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Cessnock 9-9

Monday, December 15, 2008

SELECTIONS - 15 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Port Macquarie 3-11, 5-7
Sale 8-6

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Sunday, December 14, 2008

SELECTIONS - 14 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ballarat 1-4 Drifting Spirit [1]
Canberra 5-1 Grand Rhumba [18]
Hawkesbury 6-5 Rapauric [6]
Sunshine Coast 6-2 Blow The Bugle [6]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ballarat 1-1
Hawkesbury 1-2

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Saturday, December 13, 2008

SELECTIONS - 13 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 3-1 Dante's Volante [18]
Ballina 6-4 Innocentassie [7]
Flemington 3-2 Emma Princess [9]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ascot 1-1
Gold Coast 8-9
Rosehill 2-7

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Black Book: Flemington 8-9 Vigor is my long range 2009 Caulfield Cup pick. Probably only has to handle to slow track to win.

Friday, December 12, 2008

SELECTIONS - 12 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Morphettville 3-5 Amici Diamore [8]
Moonee Valley 3-5 Happy Snap [15]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Nil

Black Book: Randwick 2-3 Spinnrad got home for us at Canberra over 1400m at his 2nd start from a long spell. Steps up to 1800m here, which looks suitable so should be a good e/w chance.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

SELECTIONS - 11 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Gosford 7-2 Rabbit Nagina [18]
Seymour 4-2 Crimson Abbey [1]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Gosford 6-3
Ipswich 8-13
Seymour 8-6

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

SELECTIONS - 10 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 8-9 Rose Of Dante [14]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Ascot 7-6
Caulfield 6-5
Gawler 3-7

(* Any updates for Ascot later on *)

Comments: Roggie's tips are going well with 3/10 returning $16.50 since I highlighted them. Long may that continue.

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

SELECTIONS - 9 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Mt Barker 6-4 Speedy Bohemian [18]
Tamworth 6-4 Forcing Thru [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Mackay 7-1, 7-9
Tamworth 8-4

(* Any updates for Mt Barker later on *)

Monday, December 08, 2008

SELECTIONS - 8 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Terang 8-3

Comments: Nothing today.

Sunday, December 07, 2008

SELECTIONS - 7 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in blue below):

Bunbury 5-7
Sunshine Coast 1-2, 2-5, 2-9, 3-1, 3-16
Traralgon 5-1

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Nothing today except a bunch of ruffies though the pick at Bunbury looks a good chance.

Saturday, December 06, 2008

SELECTIONS - 6 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 3-1 Broome Time [18
Ascot 3-2 Western Force [18]
Doomben 8-17 Ulladullua [10]
Gold Coast 5-3 Kalkie Kane [6,7,10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's picks in blue below):

Armidale 7-7
Ascot 4-5, 9-3, 9-15
Caulfield 6-1
Cheltenham 7-6
Doombem 7-16
Kembla Grange 3-1
Toowoomba 2-2

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Ascot 3-1 Broome Time was held up for a fair way in the straight before getting a late split and arriving narrowly last time. Stays in the same course/class event and rises 2.5kg so I'd be pretty wary taking the short price currently on offer. Ascot 3-2 Western Force had a good run in transit and sprinted home well enough to win first up in an R1+ over this course three weeks ago. Won 2nd up last prep in an RB90 but with only 50kg so he's another that isn't suited at the weight scale. Doomben 8-17 Ulladulla might go around at big odds in this but looks pretty well placed in this grade with just 53kg. has a 4:2-2 record first up, is 3:1-2 at the trip and 4:0-2 at Doomben and from the nice draw should give us a good run for our money. Gold Coast 5-3 Kalkie Kane led throughout and didn't give them a look in over this course in Class 1 company when winning by over 4L 5 weeks ago. Has the in form Luke Dittman on board and this doesn't look like an overly difficult field to beat so he must be a chance again although I wouldn't take less than $3.50.

Friday, December 05, 2008

SELECTIONS - 5 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Mudgee 10-4 Murray's Sun [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red and Roggie's tips in purple below):

Moonee Valley 6-2
Mt Gambier 5-3
Mudgee 6-2, 8-3

(* Any updates for Moonee Valley later on *)

Comments: A return to form yesterday was welcome. Nothing today unless something comes up at MV. Update, selection at Mudgee 10-4 Murray's Sun has been in really good form, as demonstrated by his 7 wins from 11 runs. If he repeats his last start win at Dubbo then he'll be right in the finish in this.

Thursday, December 04, 2008

SELECTIONS - 4 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Canterbury 4-4 Ausworld [14]
Pinjarra 6-1 Volcanic Causeway [18]
Pinjarra 7-4 Foxy Bondy [6]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ballarat 6-4
Pinjarra 6-10

(* Any updates later on *)

Comments: I'm away from a PC for most of the day so I'll update when I get the chance.

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

SELECTIONS - 3 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 2-1 Mineour's Luck [14]
Ascot 4-2 Palace Gossip [18]
Ascot 5-2 sportsground [14]
Ascot 6-2 Vain Idol [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ascot 3-2
Eagle Farm 5-13
Hawkesbury 3-5

(* Any updates for Ascot later on *)

Comments: Ascot 2-1 Mineour's Luck snuck home to win his Maiden at Bunbury when a $2.80 favourite. This looks like a nice stepping stone and he should run well, especially as he's the only winner in the race. Ascot 4-2 Palace Gossip never gave the opposition a look in last time when leading throughout over this course and in this grade. After the claim gets in with the same 3kg over the limit as she had last time so there's no reason why she can't repeat the effort. Ascot 5-2 Sportsground flogged them at his first start in the west since moving from NSW and then couldn't sprint home quickly enough to win at Pinjarra. Has drawn off the track here, which won't help but if he can get a clear run then should be in the finish. Ascot 6-2 Vain Idol is another last start course and class winner that steamed home from nowhere to score narrowly at double figure odds. He's in better after the claim than he was last time so if there's any pace on up front then you'd expect him to be a chance again.

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

SELECTIONS - 2 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Kyneton 2-4 Hint [1]
Townsville 4-2 Different Drummer [10]
Townsville 6-4 Delusional Dancer [6,7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Albany 1-12
Townsville 7-13

(* Any updates for Albany later on *)

Comments: Kyneton 2-4 Hint loomed up to win as a $1.50 favourite last time out and was worried out of the race by Cape Connection. Steps up in trip and has Dwayne Dunn on board to ensure that any late shirking comes at the price of a good flogging so you'd think he'll go close again though anything under $2.50 is unders, especially as this is a stronger field than last time. Townsville 4-2 Different Drummer has had two runs since moving up from Victoria for two good placings. Has drawn well here and is not up against any superstars as far as I can see so should give us a good run for our money. Townsville 6-4 Delusional Dancer has relished racing in Townsville since moving from NSW. He's had 5 runs for 3 wins including big wins in Class 2 and 3 races at his last couple of starts. Has drawn awkwardly so don't want to get sucked into anything less than around $3.20, especially as Silent Echo is expected to run a big race.

Monday, December 01, 2008

SELECTIONS - 1 December 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Moe 8-5

Comments: At least November is behind us and we can look forward to a profitable December, which will keep the monthly win-loss sequence intact. The frustrating thing is that we had so many placegetters for the month so that place betting finished slightly in front while win betting was miles behind. Nothing today.

Sunday, November 30, 2008

SELECTIONS - 30 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Geraldton 5-1 Monaco Prince [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Clare 1-2
Geraldton 7-9
Sunshine Coast 8-2
Swan Hill 4-1

(* Any updates for Geraldton later on *)

Comments: Well, I thought our losing streak was over when Pearly Beach dashed to the lead at Toowoomba. The jockey then sat on her like a stale bottle of piss and the one on the inside fought back to win. That means we've had only one winner in our last 19 selections. Geraldton 5-1 Monaco Prince has won his last 3 at this track and his only defeat this preparation came in the city two starts back. Has to lump 59.5kg here so will need everything to go right in order to get home.

Black Book: Canberra 3-11 Spinnrad was first up for 20 months when flogging home from near last for 4th at Randwick. He was entered for Randwick yesterday but scratched in preference to this race and I expect him to go close.

Saturday, November 29, 2008

SELECTIONS - 29 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 4-1 Key Biscuit [18]
Gold Coast 7-4 Lord Lujain [7]
Toowoomba 2-3 Pearly Beach [8]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ascot 8-1
Eagle Farm 5-20, 8-2
Moonee Valley 1-5
Morphettville 3-2, 6-8
Randwick 1-1

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Well, after 656 bets for the year we're a massive $1.90 ahead so if these get beaten then we'll slip into the red. It's been a bit of a bloodbath of late with only one horse successful from our last 16 selections. Ascot 4-1 Key Biscuit is a good galloper which is well suited to the step up in trip after his nice last start win. He looks particularly well placed with the claim for Salleh and I expect him to just about win. Gold Coast 7-4 Lord Lujain broke his duck here after taking a few runs to get his act together as a racehorse. Now that he has he might go on with it and being by Lujain should handle the heavy going well. Toowoomba 2-3 Pearly Beach will win this race. Simple as that.

Friday, November 28, 2008

SELECTIONS - 28 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Hamilton 9-1 Burmuda [18]
Toowoomba 7-4 Brer Fox [19]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Hamilton 8-13, 9-5
Naracoorte 5-1
Wagga 9-7

Comments: Hamiton 9-1 Burmuda won a 5 horse Class 2 over this course 25 days ago. Won at this track first up three runs back so he obviously likes it here. Seems well in at the weights so he should go close again. Toowoomba 7-4 Brer Fox has been in dynamic form up in far north Queensland (FNQ) winning all 5 of his runs over the sprint trips. Has had a change of stables so they obviously think he's up to stronger races and I expect him to prove that by winning this even with the flying Cattleman and Rhumba Jack in the race.

Thursday, November 27, 2008

SELECTIONS - 27 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Bendigo 6-6

Comments: Gee, we've copped a hammering this month and another System 1 selection got rolled yesterday. Nothing much today and if you can make money from the quaddie at Ipswich then you're a genius.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

SELECTIONS - 26 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Sandown 2-1 Absolute Star [1,4,14]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Sandown 5-8

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Sandown 2-1 Absolute Star made it a hat trick of wins with success as a $1.40 favourite at Warrnambool last time out when he was never going to lose. He will be short and those who backed the three short price selections yesterday are still putting burn cream on their fingers, as they all went over, and I don't want to take less than around $2.20 here.

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

SELECTIONS - 25 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Sale 2-4 French Secret [1]
Sale 7-4 Meteor Mistress [1,10]
Sale 8-2 Scion [8,18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Mackay 1-9, 6-6

(* Any updates for Northam later on *)

Comments: Three selections on a heavy track at Sale. Sale 2-4 French Secret pulled his arse off when 5th of 6 as a $1.90 favourite last time out. He's quoted at a ridiculuously short price, which says more about the quality of opposition than about his talent. Surely all he needs to do is handle the heavy to get home, though? I won't be taking $1.50 to find out even if he does come from Super System #1. Sale 7-4 Meteor Mistress is another from System #1 and she looks to have a fair chance given her good overall record. Again, it's a 4 horse race so anything can happen but barring bad luck she should go close. Sale 8-2 Scion finally put it all together to break his duck at his 10th start over 1700m here two weeks ago. Stepping up 500m on the heavy seems like a concern so the current short price on offer is unappealing. All in all, three good chances that probably won't be much value.

Monday, November 24, 2008

SELECTIONS - 24 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Scone 2-3, 6-2

Comments: Nothing today.

Sunday, November 23, 2008

SELECTIONS - 23 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Devonport 1-5 Notoria [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Cranbourne 3-1, 3-3, 4-9, 8-6
Devonport 5-2

(* Any updates for Pinjarra later on *)

Comments: Devonport 1-5 Notoria had his first start in Tasmania since moving from Victoria and repaid connections immediately with a solid Maiden win over this course and on a slow track. This doesn't look a strong race and she should go very close again.

Saturday, November 22, 2008

SELECTIONS - 22 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Cheltenham 4-1 Gilded Boots [18]
Gold Coast 1-2 Giddyupjayjay [10]
Gold Coast 3-7 Canivorthrill [10]
Gold Coast 5-3 Koorong Avenue [6,7]
Toowoomba 1-5 Beurre [8,20]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ascot 2-1, 3-4, 9-6
Kembla Grange 6-5, 8-4
Kilmore 1-1
Randwick 7-10

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Wet tracks everywhere today so let's hope our selections have webbed feet. Cheltenham 4-1 Gilded Boots looks hard to beat after scoring a hat trick of wins over this course since resuming. Stays in the same RB81 company as last run but rises 2.5kg, which puts him at a disadvantage weight-wise but if he's around $3 then that would be about the right price. Gold Coast 1-2 Giddyupjayjay has been running home well in his races and has managed to feature in the stewards' report at all 4 runs so if he manages to put everything together then he really should be winning this. Gold Coast 3-7 Canivorthrill has the non-terrific of 1/18 but tends to be thereabouts in his races so if he gets the right run then might be a chance in what isn't an overly strong race. Gold Coast 5-3 Koorong Avenue led throughout to whup a Maiden field on Melbourne Cup day and ran good time in the process. Take the biggest step up in grade in racing but was impressive enough last time to suggest he's a big chance today. Toowoomba 1-5 Beurre is a consistent type that just missed in a good race last time. Looks to have the most upside in this race but will be a short price favourite.

Friday, November 21, 2008

SELECTIONS - 21 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Port Lincoln 5-7 Lord Zebedee [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Goulburn 6-5
Port Lincoln 6-1

(* Any updates for Moonee Valley and elsewhere later on *)

Comments: Port Lincoln 5-7 Lord Zebedee is looking to bring up a hat trick of wins here after wins in RB64 and RB68 races. Up to an RB74 here but in with a good weight and around $3 looks the right price.

Thursday, November 20, 2008

SELECTIONS - 20 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Seymour 2-2 Cool Force [8]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Mt Barker 5-8
Seymour 9-13

(* Any updates for Mt Barker or Canterbury later on *)

Comments: Seymour 2-2 Cool Force led them up when resuming from a spell and was only overhauled in the last few hops. The drop back in trip should help so the big question is whether he'll handle the heavy conditions. Oamaru Force horses have only had 9 runs on the heavy and are yet to ring up a win but that's hardly conclusive. All the same, I'd want around $3.50 to get interested.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

SELECTIONS - 19 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Pinjarra 6-1 McDane [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Pinjarra 8-11

(* Any updates for Pinjarra later on *)

Comments: Pinjarra 6-1 McDane has had 3 runs from a spell in today's RB64 class for a 3rd, 2nd and win with the latter two being over this course. He came from gate 9/9 at his last two and if he can get a decent run from the wide gate then must be a good chance again.

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

SELECTIONS - 18 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Moe 5-1 Happy Glen [1]
Townsville 5-1 Ref's Call [10]
Warwick Farm 4-1 Fusakeo [4,14]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Townsville 6-1, 7-4

Comments: Moe 5-1 Happy Glen really does look the winner here after his good first up run and then 5L 9th of 16 to King Hoaks down the straight five and a half furlongs at Flemington over the carnival. He finished around 3L behind Gran Sasso, which came out and won nicely at Sandown on Saturday so even with the 58kg he looks the clear top chance. Townsville 5-1 Ref's Call flogged a small Class 6 field last time out to rack up his 4th win from 30 outings. If he runs up to that effort then he's going to be a fair chance in this even with the extra 4kg due to dropping back to a Class 4 event. Warwick Farm 4-1 Fusakeo folded up late after leading to be beaten as a $1.40 shot at Kembla Grange last run. The weight is a concern but he should scoot to the lead from the wide gate and around this tighter track should be hard to beat. Race 6 at Townsville is a corker, as it sees the return of local sprint champ Sea Zulu which has to carry 62.5kg after the claim and give 5kg to what looks to be his only danger, the flying Captain Wheland. The race is named the Sea Zulu Horse of the Year Handicap so it's only right that he runs them down and wins the race. It's worth noting that he's won over this course with 62kg running fast time and I think it's likely he'll cross from the wide gate to sit outside Captain Wheland and make sure it's run at a good tempo, as he won't be able to come from behind off a slow pace. Should be a great race.

Monday, November 17, 2008

SELECTIONS - 17 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Tamworth 6-12 Carry The Tune [10]
Warrnambool 7-2 Uncle Ivan [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Nil

Comments: Tamworth 6-12 Carry The Tune has been thereabouts in recent starts and might be some sort of chance at double figure odds from her OK draw and in what is an even field. Warrnambool 7-2 Uncle Ivan is obviously quite unsound given he's having his 6th start and has already had 4 first up runs. If he is anywhere near his best then he could flog this lot but the question is his soundness.

Sunday, November 16, 2008

SELECTIONS - 16 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Dubbo 3-11 Dew Drop Kiss [10]
Sunshine Coast 6-8 My Counsel [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Bunbury 2-12, 9-13
Donald 5-2, 9-10
Hobart 2-9, 9-16, 10-1
Geelong 2-4
Sunshine Coast 2-10, 8-1

(* Any updates for Bunbury later on *)

Comments: Dubbo 3-11 Dew Drop Kiss is one of those selections that come out every so often which look to have a bit of a chance and will be good odds. She ran 3rd in a Class 2, non-TAB event here last time out and if she repeats that run might give a good sight in this. Sushine Coast 6-8 My Counsel has won 2 from 3 with both wins over this course. She jumps quickly in grade and strikes a slow track for the first time while dropping 4kg but I don't want to go anywhere near the $1.70 on offer on the morning line.

Saturday, November 15, 2008

SELECTIONS - 15 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Eagle Farm 4-2
Gold Coast 6-1, 8-3
Sandown 1-7, 3-10, 3-11, 4-4
Toowoomba 6-4

(* Any updates for Ascot later on *)

Comments: No POOMAs today. There are some tough looking races, as well, so tread warily.

Black Book: Ascot 8-5 Swan Bee pulled his arse out for most of the race last time, then picked up the bit and charged to the line only to be run down late by Grand Nirvana. If he can get the right run from the gate then he'll be a fair chance again. Eagle Farm 7-5 Rockem was on his last chance last time but sucked us in again by missing the start badly, which he's making a habit of, and getting home really well for 2nd. Has a good gate so if he gets away cleanly then should just about get away with this and we'll get nice odds to tempt us.

Friday, November 14, 2008

SELECTIONS - 14 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ballina 1-1
Moonee Valley 7-8
Wangaratta 8-6

(* Any updates for Moonee Valley later on *)

Comments: Nothing today unless something pops up at the Valley.

Thursday, November 13, 2008

SELECTIONS - 13 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Nil

(* Any updates for Geraldton later on *)

Comments: Couldn't quite get home yesterday with a couple running 2nd. That thing I nominated as being expected to win, Gamroy, looks like a budding star. He settled at the back, made a long, searching run around the big field to hit the front on straightening and went strongly to the line under only light urging from Pike.

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

SELECTIONS - 12 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 1-1 Arcade Attraction [18]
Ascot 3-1 Destino [18]
Ascot 6-7 Gamroy [4]
Bendigo 10-4 King Carnage [18]
Canterbury 7-6 Impressionist [4,14]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ascot 1-7
Bendigo 10-2
Doomben 3-5
Gawler 5-6

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Ascot 1-1 Arcade Attraction led all of the way to win in this class and over this course at her 2nd run back from a spell. Rises 2kg and should be a chance again. If e/w odds are available then she looks a nice bet, as does the quinella with 7-Kriso Melli. Ascot 3-1 Destino ran 3rd in a strong form race at his first run at Pinjarra and then did well to win here last time out. Is in better at the weights after the claim and the step up in trip will suit so I expect him to win. Ascot 6-7 Gamroy could not have been more impressive when careering away for a Maiden win at Northam after coming from near the rear on the corner. I nearly put him in the black book but thought that the win was so good he'd go around at a short price at his next few runs. This is not a hard race and I expect him to win, too. Bendigo 10-4 King Carnage returned from a spell and put two wins together in RB68 and RB72 company. He won his first two back from a spell last time in, too, and then ran three even races without winning though in strong company. He's going to be around $4, which looks right to me. The danger looks to be 2-Hezabruiser. Canterbury 7-6 Impressionist is one of those Gai horses that keeps sucking people in to backing it but doesn't quite deliver. It did manage to win its Maiden last time at Wyong and kept going strongly after being slowly away and working up outside the leader but the $2.50 on the morning line is $2 short for me.

Black Book: Bendigo 7-2 The Sunshine Man went into the black book two runs ago after flogging home from back in the field at Cranbourne from last on the corner for a good 4th. I wanted to see him on a big track and he duly saluted at Geelong, though not in the manner I expected. Damien Oliver realised the pace was slow so took him to the front and he proved superior. There's more pace in this race so he'll be able to settle midfield and run over them in the straight.

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

SELECTIONS - 11 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Scone 9-1

Comments: Nothing worth backing today again.

Monday, November 10, 2008

SELECTIONS - 10 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Queanbeyan 8-1

Comments: Nothing worth backing today.

Sunday, November 09, 2008

SELECTIONS - 9 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Devonport 9-4 Buncha Keys [6]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ararat 3-1, 6-1, 8-2
Armidale 8-6
Cranbourne 5-4, 8-3
Devonport 4-4
Sunshine Coast 5-2

(* Any updates for Albany later on *)

Comments: Devonport 9-4 Buncha Keys won his Maiden first up at his 12th run and over this course. Drops 7kg with the 4kg apprentice on board so hopefully he can sit on it and steer it around effectively.

Saturday, November 08, 2008

SELECTIONS - 8 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 3-2 Kanturk [18]
Flemington 6-6 Keen Commander [12,10]
Flemington 6-8 Sunburnt Land [12]
Gold Coast 7-6 Ustino A Girl [7]
Newcastle 4-2 King's Course [8]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ascot 2-7, 7-6
Doomben 6-3
Newcastle 1-1, 3-1
Randwick 1-1
Warren 6-1

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Ascot 3-2 Kanturk thundered home from near last for placings at his first two runs from a spell for placings before settling closer and getting away with a race two weeks ago. Steps up to a mile, which looks suitable, but the $2.60 on offer looks short to me. Flemington 6-6 Keen Commander has to beat Apache Cat, which has won 10 of his last 13 including 5 G1s in a row, and perform at the top level at 1200m which has been beyond him thus far. He'll be big odds. Flemington 6-8 Sunburnt Land as per Black Book comment. Gold Coast 7-6 Ustino A Girl has had 6 runs and been in the stewards' report every time so she's still learning what racing is all about. Luke Dittman seemed to find the key to things in her easy win last time over this course in a Class 1 race. If she repeats that effort then she'll be a chance again. Newcastle 4-2 King's Course has had a freshen up since putting a couple together here over six furlongs. Comes back to 900m but has a lot of speed and I expect him to win this.

Black Book: Sunburnt Land 6-8 should have won again in the Salinger but was held up for a long way and missed his chance. Can he beat Apache Cat? We'll be tempted with nice odds to find out.

Friday, November 07, 2008

SELECTIONS - 7 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Townsville 7-4 Dragonisi [6,10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Port Macquarie 7-3
Townsville 2-6

(* Any updates later on *)

Comments: Townsville 7-4 Dragonisi was really impressive last time out when beating a good Class 3 field over this course in sharp time. Has hit his straps since moving from Victoria to Far North Queensland, like a lot of horses do, and I expect him to be in the finish.

Thursday, November 06, 2008

SELECTIONS - 6 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Albury 6-2 Donilly Lad [7]
Pakenham 6-1 Set Shot [18]
Warrnambool 4-1 Claybird [10]
Warrnambool 6-3 No More Cans [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Albury 1-3
Doomben 1-8, 8-3
Flemington 6-1, 8-1
Hawkesbury 3-1, 3-3
Murray Bridge 7-1
Pakenham 6-1

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Albury 6-2 Donilly Lad is in rare form with 3 wins from his last 4 starts, all over this course, split by a 4th at Wagga. Is up 2kg on his last start win but has the inside draw and even though he's up against a fair field he really should just about win again. Pakenham 6-1 Set Shot led throughout to win over 8m further last time out. Stays in the same class and rises 2kg against the limit. This is a pretty good field but he should be able to lead from gate 3 and he'll be there at the business end. Warrnambool 4-1 Claybird generally gets back and flogs home late to look a chance but get beaten narrowly, which he did again last start when resuming from a spell. This would have to be the worst field he's met and I expect him to win. Warrnambool 6-3 No More Cans returned from a year and a half away from racing for a good 3rd in an RB68 race over this course in what was a pretty fair race won by Fasmoss. They ran 0.64 faster than Boydari on the same day so you'd think that our selection should be around $3 favourite and just about win.

Wednesday, November 05, 2008

SELECTIONS - 5 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Grafton 1-2 Gorbachov [6,7]
Grafton 3-5 Totally Grateful [10]
Kyneton 1-3 Long Haul [1]
Northam 3-2 Star Of Danetime [7,18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ipswich 6-7
Kyneton 7-10

(* Any updates for Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Grafton 1-2 Gorbachov has grown a leg since changing stables and if he runs up to his two last start wins then he'll bring up a hat trick in this. Grafton 3-5 Totally Grateful has placed at 4 of 5 runs so is consistent and should be a chance again. Kyneton 1-3 Long Haul hasn't been beaten far in his 3 runs in good Maiden fields. Steps up to 2000m here and is by Exceed And Excel, which is a worry stamina-wise, but if he can lead at a slow tempo then should be able to sprint away in the straight. Northam 3-2 Star Of Danetime had his first non-metropolitan run when winning first up over this course. With Paul Harvey on board he'll be favourite and you'd expect her to run well in this.