Monday, April 25, 2005

SELECTIONS - 25 April 2005

Bathurst 3-2 Delta Eagle is the pick to knock over the odds on favourite. Won powerfully last time but, unusually, weighed in light and was disqualified. Gets the chance to atone. The dangers are obviously Feu De Joi, as well as Red Rebel.

Bathurst 6-7 Instant Hero rounded them up last time in the same class and meets some of them again. He's only had 4 starts, won twice - both here - and only been beaten in town. Has top jockey Matt Cahill to steer and should steam home to win again.

Belmont 3-2 Daka's Gem steamed home to win first up and should go close to repeating the dose here, as he's up against three runners who he beat home that day. I'll mark Bleepak as the danger.


Belmont 4-5 Tanta Dancer capped off a series of 2nds with a solid win in F&M company last time over a mile. She's a good mare who has only been unplaced once in 14 starts, which was first up this preparation over 1200m. Keeps finding the line and the step to 2000m suits ideally.

Eagle Farm 8-5 Party Express ran home well last time for 4th in a similar race last time. Is always competitive in these types of races and has beaten a number of the opposition home when they've met over the last six months. Is very effective on wet ground, from gate 2 should have a perfect run and will be in the finish.


Flemington 2-11 Sojustrememberthis won very well in a MV F&M Maiden under lights before stepping up to Listed company and being beaten a head by a neddy called Cocinero. That horse thrashed them on Saturday and being back to fillies' class should see Sojustrememberthis winning again.

Flemington 3-7 Monet Rules went straight into the Black Book after his win at Bendigo last time. Worked to the front quickly, dictated the pace, kicked away and was very strong on the line in a widening 2.3L win. Steps up from 1000m to 1400m in this race but he really looked like he wanted further and might be a pretty good one.

Flemington 4-9 Irish Darling is a 3YO filly up against the mares but is really getting her act together as a racehorse, as demonstrated by her last start win. She should be able to get a good position in running and has a terrific turn of foot when let down.

Flemington 6-5 Accumulate is an up and coming stayer who has won his last two against the older horses. Three starts back he came from last of 13 on the corner in the Group 2 Tulloch Stks to finish 6th beaten less than 5L behind Stella Grande. Bart will have him cherry ripe for this. Danger is Pure Silence.

Flemington 7-14 Da Capo is right in this race at a distance that is what he's looking for. Ran 3rd to Fantastic Love beaten less than half a length over this course in the spring in a Group 2 race and in his previous 2500m run won at Moonee Valley last May. Last time out he shared the lead with Delvecchio at Flemington on that day when the swoopers won every race coming down the outside on the heavy track. He was still boxing on well at the finish. I'm going for the girls to score with Sally Wynne riding for trainer Lisa Bonella, who is a good trainer of stayers.

Flemington 8-4 Ulysses strikes a much needed dry track and is in very well under the conditions of the race. He's had 16 lifetime runs and a formline of 4122130726024959, which are split up by wet/dry as 076099/4122132245. Now that's a dry tracker if ever I've seen one. Two starts back he ran 5th beaten 3L in the Group 1 Rosehill Guinease. That'll do me.

Gosford 2-13 Sally's World is a first starter from the Waterhouse camp that looks ideally placed. Won a trial easily last month and only needs to have even luck to take this out.

Gosford 3-12 Rationalize is another Waterhouse first starter that looks well in. Trialled recently for a close 2nd to well performed mare, Magsaya, and will be the second leg of a Gai first starter all up for me.

Moe 1-7 Ruby's Eclat stepped up from 1400m to 2050m last time at Moe, sped across to the lead early, ran them along and boxed on very well to finish a 3L 4th. This field is one of the worst ever assembled with just 5 placings in 75 collective starts so you'd think all she needs to do is lead again and her fitness would carry her to victory.

Randwick 1-3 Pocketfullofdreams was entered for Newcastle on Saturday and could also have run at the provincial meeting at Gosford so the fact she's entered here means they think she can win. Is very nicely bred and clearly any betting moves will be significant.

Randwick 4-4 Pass The Bubbly was beaten as 13/8 favourite last time out in a stronger field than this. Is looking for the step up in distance and is a promising type who Danny Beasley will position just behind the pace from gate 1. Should look the winner at some point.

Randwick 5-7 Rebridled is second up at 1400m after being outsped first up over 1200m when drawing off the track. Went back to last and nver got a clear run up the straight but kept getting to the line. She won 2nd up last time in at Kembla over this trip and drops back to F&M grade here. From the perfect draw she should have a decent run and be some sort of chance at odds. Fumble is stepping up in grade quite a bit and Isle Of Gibraltar has run some nice races in good company but still only has a Benalla win to her credit in October '03.

Randwick 6-1 No Penalty should finally break through this preparation after some good runs. Stablemate Danzarber should lead, which means that professional spoiler Plywood can't take a Waterhouse favourite on in the lead like it did last time. Stewards should really open an enquiry into the running of that horse last time. No Penalty should get a cosy run and take this one out.

Victoria Park 1-2 Starbucks won for us last time at Strathalbyn and we'll stick with him in this. He worked hard mid-race, took the lead early, which left him a sitting shot for anything running home but he fought on well to just get in. He's only had 3 jumps starts for a win and a 2nd and with the likelihood that Jungfrau Peak will start a short favourite we might get $4. As it was last time, Starbucks is a superior flat horse to these and with natural improvement over jumps should be hard to run down.

Victoria Park 6-13 Sleatbank sneaks into this race with just 49kg after a very good run last time in Class 4 company under 58kg at Bendigo. Kate Walters took him wide and then to the front 1000m out and he fought on valiantly when headed to just miss. Has run well in stronger races than this in Brisbane and might be one at odds.

Victoria Park 7-1 Southern Class is very well in here with the claim for Kyla Stra who has a better strike rate than most of the male jockeys in this race. There are a few that press forward to set the speed, which will give her a good drag along. With even luck over the last furlong should be able to run them down.

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