Tuesday, September 26, 2006

SELECTIONS - 26 September 2006

POOMA selections:

Moe 3-1 Cassicarl

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Moe 2-4
Townsville 1-2, 6-10
Warwick Farm 1-2, 5-4, 7-6

(* updates at around 11.30AM if any * Now updated - POOMA included *)

Today: Funny little meetings today but there look a few potential winners out there. The POOMA selection, Moe 3-1, won his last start at Bairnsdale quite nicely. He rises 3kg in weight and has had a month off but there are only a couple of threats in the small field. He's 2 from 2 at Moe and has last start jockey, Matthew Allen, on board so I think he'll get home. He comes from a system that is 11/19 since going live in June (which includes 7 winning selections in a row). I'm reasonably keen on Moe 2-4 Cycolnic Bay to make a successful jumping debut even though he's up against a few with form directly above him in the weights. He won a trial well, has recently won an Open class flat race and can race handy. The upgrade to dead track from slow enhances my confidence. Working Class Man looks like he'll win the first even if he does meet them all worse at the weights after trouncing them last time at Pakenham on a slow track. Townsville 1-2 Capital Flow comes out of a systems that's 15/30 since going live however it's a very even field and based on his run against a couple of others in July I won't be going in hard. The morning line price of $3 seems about right and if that's available then he might be worth a go. A couple of runners first up in north Qld are in race 6. 10-Ariencielle and 14 Wotz Fong don't look to have the form to win though last time I said that about one of Roy Chillemi's it lobbed at $20. Beadman's rides in races 1 and 5 look to be strong chances though 1-2 Amerryking will be quite short. Look for Athelnoth to make things hard for him in that race. 5-4 Nod looks the goods in his race and there's no way we'll get the $4.50 of the morning line.


Yesterday: As predicted it was a bit of a nothing day really yesterday. Mick Kent's Trick Of Light won first up in Australia in a fair performance for a horse that will be suited over longer. He might have a fair performer there. Basto Man did well to win the last under his weight after looking in real trouble on the corner. As long as he doesn't rise too much in class then he can keep winning. At Port Macquarie, Terror looked likely to win until about 100m out when it was clear that the leader was kicking strongly. Caused me a deal of pain, that one! Luckily, I had decided to have a First4 at Albury in race 5 that was won by a $40 shot for a handy dividend.

POOMAs: There were no POOMA selections yesterday.

No comments: