Friday, September 15, 2006

SELECTIONS - 15 September 2006

POOMA selections:

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Sale 9-3
Townsville 2-1, 6-3, 6-5
Wagga 5-4

Today: Townsville 6-3 Impunity comes from one of my head-scratchingly good systems that just keep going at better than 50% strike rate. Why "head-scratchingly"? Because they seem to defy the punting laws of gravity by just keeping on going at that rate. That said, Impunity has an ordinary race record of 3 from 29, has only won once from 10 goes at Townsville, once at the trip and has drawn wide. For all those negatives it's up at $2.70 on the morning line. I'd be surprised if it didn't start at around $4. It looks a genuine e/w chance to me rather than favourite material. At Sale, 1-2 Formulate will probably start at skinny odds, potentially around $2, after his good run at his first start. He led and fought on very well that day. However, if 1-3 General Ledger holds up at double figure odds then I'd be very happy to back him each way, as I expect him to sit near the lead and be tough at the end. 2-10 Silky Gold is another with sound e/w prospects. She's had four starts for two placings with the other two runs being on rain affected tracks and in good fields. With a couple of Moody runners in the race we might get $6. 9-3 Conjoin comes from the Moody camp and looks to have a fair chance. She's currently listed at $3.50, which is about the right price. At Wagga I'll be keepng an eye on the Matthew Dale trained 1-8 Offer It Up. He's taken just the one horse on the four hour journey from Canberra to Wagga, a track that he has a terrific record at. If there's any move for it then I'll be happy to follow the lead.

Yesterday: Two of the three non-POOMA selections that came out of good systems got home yesterday. Lachino annexed the first race at Belmont by 5L but paid a miserly $1.40 and Meanma won comfortably in the first leg of the quaddie at Ballina paying $2.70. The only horse that caught the eye was Pantenny in the first at Mornington. He was well backed and won very nicely. The field wasn't strong but he looked good.

POOMAs: There were no POOMA selections yesterday.

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