Sandown 1-1 Swinging Bachelor
Sandown 4-3 Miss Theron
Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):
Canterbury 1-2, 4-6
Gawler 1-5
Today: Dead tracks are absolutely the worst surface to bet on, in my opinion, so I'll leave Gawler and Eagle Farm alone. I don't like Sydney anyway and the heavy track kills it off as a meeting. Therefore the only meeting worth looking at is Sandown. Given I focus on Victorian races that's what I should be doing anyway! 1-1 Swinging Bachelor from the Freedman stable looks a class above these. He won his first start and then finished close up to Due Sasso and Fun In Flight; either of those horses would start long odds on in this field. There's a bit of pace in this race and he should be able to park right behind them from the inside gate and run them down in the last 200m. 4-3 Miss Theron is fantastically well placed, as I reckon she's the best performed mare in this race. Playwin will start favourite, which means we could be looking at getting somewhere in the $5-$6 range. The top three in the weights, along with the rejuvenated Camille With Class, look like the only chances though maybe Otto Carate could lob a place. I might work a First4 around those five. 5-10 Living Hell got stuck on the wrong part of the track first up and her run was better than it looks on paper. In spite of drawing wide she should settle near the lead and might be pretty good e/w value. In race 6 the first three in the market, Vengo, Mr Big and Newgrange, look like the only chances. I like Vengo to get over the top of them after his good first up run behind Chiak (who won again the other day). The last leg of the quaddie looks like a field job even though De Kolta looks pretty well placed.
Yesterday: Not much to report from yesterday. It's A Dud made it 2 from 2 over the jumps and even though he won narrowly I expect he can win again. At Rockhampton, Dust Haze won in the manner of a horse that will go through the grades. At Warwick Farm, Palace General fought back to win race one. I think he'll actually be better on top of the ground.
POOMAs: 1 from 3 yesterday. It's A Dud got us off to a good start by winning narrowly and surviving a protest paying $2. Nifty Neville Wilson gave Desert Demon a perfect run, brought him into the race at the right time, the horse sprinted to join the leaders and then failed to finish the race off being comfortably beaten in the end, failing to place. Vereker Street crossed easily from his wide gate, set a steady pace, kicked 4L in front with 200m to go, immediately started to paddle and got run down by a $50 shot in an effort that says "never to be backed again". If he wins then the POOMAs would have managed 10 winning selection days in a row.
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