Tuesday, October 31, 2006

POOMA RESULTS

I have posted selections publicly since 13/11/04. The point of posting them is to drive improvement in my own selection processes. On the whole, the selections come from mechanical methods and the goal was to try and create profitable systems that required no judgement by me. Note that all results use NSW dividends, as that best reflects what you'll get in a TAB though you can achieve better using best tote etc options from your sporting bookmaker.

At the start of August I changed to focusing only on Victorian races, which includes watching video replays and doing more empirical analysis. The results since that change are:

Selections: 116
Wins: 43

Strike Rate: 37.1%
POT%: +2.3%


October was a complete debacle with just 6 wins from 44 selections. As people are aware, I didn't have as much time during October to watch replays etc, as I was in Canberra with my father who had fallen very ill and subsequently passed away. I should post something on him, as he was an amazing feller. Not many people have places named after them in Antarctica but he's one. My really good systems also chose to take the month off and performed abysmally so we got a bit of a hammering all around.

Overall, the results are:


Selections: 1825
Wins: 498
Strike Rate: 27.3%
POT%: -3.4%

In spite of being a tad behind I'm still pretty happy with the result, as I started off badly and have gradually improved as I've worked out where best to focus and which races are best.

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