I have posted selections publicly since 13/11/04. The point of posting them is to drive improvement in my own selection processes. On the whole, the selections come from mechanical methods and the goal was to try and create profitable systems that required no judgement by me. Note that all results use NSW dividends, as that best reflects what you'll get in a TAB though you can achieve better using best tote etc options from your sporting bookmaker.
At the start of August I changed to focusing only on Victorian races, which includes watching video replays and doing more empirical analysis. The results since that change are:
Selections: 72
Wins: 37
Strike Rate: 51.4%
POT%: +31.3%
We kept the 50% strike rate going through September with 21/40, which is pretty amazing but we lost ground from a profit percentage point of view, as the profit was 13% for the month.
Overall, the results are:
Selections: 1781
Wins: 492
Strike Rate: 27.6%
POT%: -2.3%
In spite of being a tad behind I'm pretty happy with the result, as I started off badly and have gradually improved as I've worked out where best to focus and which races are best.
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