Thursday, August 17, 2006

SELECTIONS - 17 August 2006

POOMA selections:

There are no POOMA selections today

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Hawkesbury 5-4, 5-9
Townsville 6-1
Northam 5-2

Lay of the Day: Northam 4-2 Freaky Kontiki $2.90 - [LOTD 9 from 12]

Today: Last start POOMA winner, Sea Zulu, has been asked to carry 59kg in an Open 1000m sprint at Townsville. This horse is clearly up to Saturday city class but he's meeting horses on much worse weight terms than previous runs. He has won under 60.5kg in 2YO company but I wouldn't be taking odds on today. There are a couple of southern horses making their debuts up north in race 3. 1-On Bail and 5-Nothin Leica Girl both have good enough form to feature here. Normally, I wouldn't be keen to back a horse stepping into a Class 1 race after a last start Maiden win however Northam 5-2 Underestimated won very well here last week over this trip and I expect that up and coming star apprentice, Jessica Hill, will be able to overcome her wide barrier. Comes out of a few really good systems and might be nice odds, too.

Yesterday: Not a bad day's analysis overall. Jacqueline Rouge got things off to a good start at Sandown though the $4 odds were shorter than I thought it would be. Then Irish Loup and Loup Rouge completed the Loup Sauvage (and stable and owners) quinella at Quirindi, paying $2.70. I stuffed up, as the winner, Irish Loup, should have been a POOMA. It came out of the super system that up until yesterday had picked 18 winners from 25 live selections at 50% profit. Tacsai got too far back and ran home strongly but couldn't pick up the placegetters and up north, My Son Day was backed as if unbeatable and won by 3L at around $4. Over in the west a horse having its first start beat experienced rivas who had won 4 and 5 races. Seafarer is very well bred 4YO entire, being by Scenic out of Miss Margaret, and I'll predict that he will go on to much better things.

POOMAs: There were no POOMA selections yesterday.

LOTD: French Tycoon started a $2.40 favourite and never looked like catching the winner.

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