Thursday, July 27, 2006

SELECTIONS - 27 July 2006

Track Race-TAB Horse [Live Selections/Win Strike Rate %/ Profit %]

Townsville 7-11 Sea Zulu [24/70.8%/40%]

Non-POOMA selections:

Northam 4-5, 7-8
Townsville 8-7

Every so often a horse comes along that you seem to remember, formwise, better than others. Typically, they're in the non-metro areas. Langfibian, who won for us the other week at $10 is one example. You know when they're well graded and are going to run well. Today's POOMA, Sea Zulu, falls into that category, as well. He's already a two time POOMA selection, winning both races (last year), and he looks a terrific chance to bring up a POOMA hat trick. He won over this course and distance at WFA last time out beating many of his rivals today. In this handicap event he drops from 57kg to 53kg, as do many of the horses he beat home. However, the good galloper Strictly Smart, who ran 2nd to Sea Zulu last time, rises 1.5kg and that won't help his chances at all. Captain Wheland is a very good horse who is a mad leader, which will help Sea Zulu, as he also has pace and will be able to cross from his gate 11 to be outside, or just off, that horse early. Captain Wheland hasn't shown he can get 1200m in good company yet but having him in the race will mean that Sea Zulu doesn't start odds on, which he should. As you can see, the system that has picked the POOMA has a 17/24 record, which is pretty amazing.

There are a few horses running at Townsville that are coming off NSW and Victorian runs that are worth watching. 6-1 Whinewomensong is probably the best of the three with the other two being 2-2 & 2-8.

Race 5 at Bendigo, the first leg of the quaddie, looks like a field job to me. Every horse in the race started at 10/1 or greater last time except Outlaw Love - and she's coming off a hurdle run. Between them they've had 237 starts for an outstanding 37 placings (and two hurdle wins). 10 of those placings belong to Eureka Express who looks out of form, which shows how poorly the rest are going. For the record, I'll start the quaddie with 3,4,7,8,12,13,15 & 16.

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