Saturday, October 01, 2005

SELECTIONS - 1 October 2005

The criteria for October will be a modification of the previous qualification process. It will still be profitable systems with a minimum of 10 live selections and acceptable Chi-Squared figures but I've added in a couple of more stringent tests to weed out underperforming systems more quickly. You'll see the performance for the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going.

Murtoa 3-5 Peace Prize [38/34.2%/6%]

Only the one selection today. My picks for selected races today are:

Randwick 2-1 Anjuna to quinella the race with 4-Fleur Royale
Randwick 4-1 Pendragon
Randwick 6-2 Kindjhal
Randwick 7-12 Mr Celebrity - looks a near certainty to me and probably a stable quinella

Flemington 5-4 Vision And Power
Flemington 7-15 Candy Vale
Flemington 8-13 Vouvray - will show why she's so short in Cups markets
Flemington 9-10 General Bayton - e/w the go

I'm potting Virage De Fortune, who has looked terrific so far, because the only 3YO fillies who have won down the Flemington 1200m in black type races in recent years have been Alinghi and Miss Moneypenny and 1) they both came out of open age races compared to Virage De Fortune's fillies' race and 2) I don't think she's as good as either of them.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

After going thru' youre selections over the meetings I would suggest POOMAS are DOWN!!!!!!!!!

Mr POOMA said...

POOMAS are currently -4.5% since April. I updated results regularly. Since tweaking them a couple of weeks ago they're a tad in front and I expect them to climb back into profit.