Tuesday, November 18, 2008

SELECTIONS - 18 November 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Moe 5-1 Happy Glen [1]
Townsville 5-1 Ref's Call [10]
Warwick Farm 4-1 Fusakeo [4,14]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Townsville 6-1, 7-4

Comments: Moe 5-1 Happy Glen really does look the winner here after his good first up run and then 5L 9th of 16 to King Hoaks down the straight five and a half furlongs at Flemington over the carnival. He finished around 3L behind Gran Sasso, which came out and won nicely at Sandown on Saturday so even with the 58kg he looks the clear top chance. Townsville 5-1 Ref's Call flogged a small Class 6 field last time out to rack up his 4th win from 30 outings. If he runs up to that effort then he's going to be a fair chance in this even with the extra 4kg due to dropping back to a Class 4 event. Warwick Farm 4-1 Fusakeo folded up late after leading to be beaten as a $1.40 shot at Kembla Grange last run. The weight is a concern but he should scoot to the lead from the wide gate and around this tighter track should be hard to beat. Race 6 at Townsville is a corker, as it sees the return of local sprint champ Sea Zulu which has to carry 62.5kg after the claim and give 5kg to what looks to be his only danger, the flying Captain Wheland. The race is named the Sea Zulu Horse of the Year Handicap so it's only right that he runs them down and wins the race. It's worth noting that he's won over this course with 62kg running fast time and I think it's likely he'll cross from the wide gate to sit outside Captain Wheland and make sure it's run at a good tempo, as he won't be able to come from behind off a slow pace. Should be a great race.

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