Saturday, September 13, 2008

SELECTIONS - 13 September 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Belmont 1-1 Kim Luck [18]
Cairns 2-1 The Cat's Back [19]
Cairns 5-4 Intramuros [7]
Kalgoorlie 1-5 On The Carpet [10]
Kalgoorlie 4-1 Productivity [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ararat 6-7
Belmont 1-7, 4-6, 6-3
Eagle Farm 6-2, 8-1
Kalgoorlie 4-8, 5-16, 6-13
Kembla Grange 2-3, 6-7
Moonee Valley 4-8, 6-14
Morphettville 5-4, 6-5, 7-15

(* Any updates from Western Australia later on *)

Comments: Belmont 1-1 Kim Luck has a miss-win-miss-win-miss-win record so let's hope he can bring that sequence to an end by winning this. He looks a genuine $1.50 shot to me. Cairns 2-1 The Cat's Back has been in consistent form, won his only start at this track, has drawn well and has in form hoop David Crossland to steer so he should go pretty close. Cairns 5-4 Intramuros won his first start in FNQ since moving up from SEQ over this course in Class 5 company 34 days ago. He's run well down south and that was a strong effort so I expect him to be the horse to beat here. Kalgoorlie 1-5 On The Carpet flogged an RB64 field at Northam two starts back before starting an even money favourite and getting run over late after leading when 4th to Soprano Rex. Red Fish Blue Fish is also a mad leader and I don't like backing horses that lead in races where there's going to be a heap of speed thus setting it up for one to run over them late but he must be a chance. Kalgoorlie 4-1 Productivity has a good record at this track and seems pretty well in after his last start win over this course and in this class. Only goes up 1kg so he should go close again.

Black Book: Moonee Valley 7-17 Sunburnt Land was an emergency and didn't make the field last week in the Bobby Lewis. He's also missed a run today in the Manikato. Given he hasn't been entered for alternative races you'd have to think that he's absolutely flying so I'm keen to get on him when he makes a field. Rosehill 1-5 Neroli was first across the line but lost on protest last time after charging home from last. She'll win this clearly so protests won't be a problem. Cairns 3-11 Rontgen was probably a certainty beaten last time, which is why he went into the black book. Never, ever got a chance to get out of a pocket and went to the line in cruise mode behind a wall of horses. Look for a big run at good odds.

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