Saturday, July 19, 2008

SELECTIONS - 19 July 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Belmont 5-2 Key's Ace [18]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Belmont 3-6, 4-5, 7-2
Caulfield 5-5, 6-10
Kembla Grange 8-10
Toowoomba 2-1, 2-13

(* Any updates at Belmont later on *)

Comments: Belmont 5-2 Key's Ace led throughout to win on the non-global warming induced wet track last time. Drops back in trip, stays in the same grade and only rises 1kg so should be a good chance again even though he rarely strings two wins together. I'd be very wary of betting over in Perth today, as it's a rare heavy track. The city races literally only see one per year, though there have been a couple of meetings abandoned.

Black Book: Belmont 1-1 Swan Bee was never let go to win last time and might be a really smart type. If he runs up to that last run then he'll beat these - assuming there's no stars among the first starters and he can handle the heavy. Kembla Grange 4-3 Waterfront Lass was a good e/w result for us last time. I reckon we'll get another good price win out of her before too long and she'll go around at decent odds here so happy to be on board.

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