Saturday, March 08, 2008

SELECTIONS - 8 March 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Ascot 4-3 Danerip [6]
Flemington 3-10 Burgeis [1]
Gold Coast 6-5 Haram [7]
Morphettville 4-4 Get Set [15]
Toowoomba 4-8 This Too Shallpass [10]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ascot 6-2
Eagle Farm 5-3, 6-9
Edenhope 8-10
Flemington 7-5, 9-4
Gold Coast 1-3, 7-1
Morphettville 2-6, 7-7
Newcastle 1-1, 7-4, 7-6, 8-2, 9-8, 10-11
Rosehill 4-12, 8-13
Toowoomba 1-6


(* Any updates at Ascot later on *)

Comments: A $6+ winner from one selection was a welcome change of short term luck yesterday. Let's hope there are a few of those in today's lot. Ascot 4-3 Danerip returned from a spell with a comprehensive all the way win in quick time. Dropping back 100m will suit and she really should win again. Flemington 3-10 Burgeis has got home hard at each of her four runs so you'd think the step up to 1400m at the big track might help. The issue is whether connections are going to the well once too often this preparation given that the Blue Diamond might have been the intended grand final. Gold Coast 6-5 Haram took nearly two years to notch up his second win and given that she only got within 2L of a winner in the intervening 13 runs you'd have to think that the odds are against a repeat performance. Morphettville 4-4 Get Set is owned by the Astute Racing Brains Syndicate and after the horse had run its fifth 2nd placing in a row they might have been querying how astute they really were. She ran well to finally win her Maiden at Balaklava last time and this is not an especially hard race so she should run well again. Toowoomba 4-8 This Too Shallpass has only won two of his last 16 runs, both at this track from four runs taking his track record to 6/8 while he's only run 3 placings from 17 runs elsewhere. He's drawn well and is in with the same weight so should run well again in what is a slightly harder race.

Black Book: Eagle Farm 2-1 Slim Pickings hasn't been suited at his last two runs with no pace on. That won't be the case here and even though he is yet to win past a mile he will be a great chance here. Flemington 2-7 Little Arrow will be double figure odds and is a red hot chance in this race. Didn't quite come up last prep but wasn't far away and the 1100m down the straight will suit. Flemington 8-1 Fiumicino will be cherry ripe for this race and I think that he's only got to finish in front of two horses to win the race - Princess Coup and Sirmione. Rosehill 5-10 Dillinger looked like he could be anything with his last start win. Jumps a lot in grade, obviously, but he's going to be nice odds and should run well. Rosehill 8-8 Hairy has drawn out in Parramatta Road, which is going to hurt her chances given she's an on-pace runner. She also has to get past one of my favourite mares, Coolroom Candidate, which looks particularly well placed.

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