Monday, February 25, 2008

SELECTIONS - 25 February 2008

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Port Macquarie 5-2 King Benji [7]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Narromine 5-1, 7-2
Port Macquarie 6-1, 6-11, 7-3, 7-12, 8-2
Seymour 7-2

Comments: Port Macquarie 5-2 King Benji won nicely over this course last time and drops slightly in grade while rising in grade. Has won 5/9 at this course and 0/10 - not even a placing - at other courses so he should go close again.


CORRECTION: I spotted a major stuff up with system 7. Instead of it selecting the top-rated horse I had left that critereon out (for Bet Selector users - when I renamed it from my test area to in-use area I put BR$ in the system name not BR$1 so it wasn't an obvious thing to spot) and it was giving many more selections than it should, including more than one in a race. System 7 was performing pretty well as it was as a 2008 POOMA with 57 live selections at 30% s/r and +13% profit but, in fact, that was a bit of a fluke. I have corrected the error and adjusted results accordingly, which is important as people need to understand how each system is going so that they can factor that into their bet size/confidence. As both System 7 and overall POOMAs were in the black at the time the error was spotted it's obviously not a case of trying to fudge the results.

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