Sunday, December 16, 2007

SELECTIONS - 16 December 2007

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Canberra 2-4 Dermere [10]
Launceston 8-1 Shanghai Pete [13]
Launceston 9-2 I'm Paddy [23]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Ballarat 8-5
Bordertown 4-1, 5-1
Canberra 3-5, 3-7, 8-2
Launceston 4-1, 7-10, 9-7, 9-8
Tatura 6-1, 6-3, 10-5

(* Any updates at Bunbury later on *)

Comments: Canberra 2-4 Dermere has been consistent without winning. If he can get the right run here then he could get home but the first starters wouldn't need to be much good to get home, either, so I won't be going anywhere near the $2.90 on the morning line. Launceston 8-1 Shanghai Pete seems to have everything against him today - up in class, up in weight, up in distance coming off a month break and drawn off the track. He's $6.50 this morning and that seems about right. Launceston 9-2 I'm Paddy made it three 2nds in a row and given the form Gold Walk is in he might struggle to avoid making it four in this.

Black Book: Bunbury 9-7 Mighty Ronnie looked a little disappointing last time but they crawled along early and even though his final section was good he was too far back to get into the finish. There looks to be a better pace in this race so I expect him to go close. Canberra 5-10 Waterfront Lass has drawn the car park at what is a tricky start so that probably cruells her chances. She's won her races at country tracks, as well, though she does look well in here classwise. It's been wet in Canberra and she can't handle anything worse than dead so all in all things looks stacked against her here.

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