SELECTIONS - 22 March 2007

POOMA selections (Location Race#-TAB# Horse [system/s])

Seymour 7-2 Not A Copy [13]

Non-POOMA selections (and ruffies in red below):

Nil

Comments: 2 from 6 yesterday. Identify ran on OK race for 3rd at Sandown and then Shasti stepped out as a short priced favourite at Ascot, had a perfect run and got nabbed on the line confirming my point that you never want to take a short price on a horse going from age restricted into open age races even if it looks like a drop in class. Adriatic Ocean then put in a really tough performance to lead all of the way at Kembla Grange, which was handy, as he'd been picked by three different systems. Tiger Is Ready then ran an even race in the 4th there but wasn't up to winning, finishing midfield, which I think confirms her win last time was a bit of a fluke. Orme then won handily at Strathalbyn; he's up to a city staying race for sure so follow him. Smart Maxie tried valiantly under his 59kg but couldn't give away 6kg to the field and ran a stout 3rd. System 13 hit 2/3 yesterday, which was nice. It's performing miles below expectation so far this year and I reckon it'll strike back and get to the front.

Seymour 7-2 Not A Copy is in good recent form and should be a fair chance today. He does have to step up to 1412m for the first time but he's by the Japanese stallion, Genuine, so that should be OK.

A few from the black book are also having a run. Albury 5-1 In The Shadows won a couple nicely before finding the step up to 2040m a bit beyond him, which is no surprise given he's by sprinting sire Toy Pindarri. Back to a mile should see him in with a chance here. Gosford 7-2 Runaway Frisco began quickly in her Maiden win at Wyong last time from her 13 of 13 draw, sat outside the leader at a breakneck speed, fought off the other horse and held them out in a tough effort. She's drawn wide again and has 60kg and might be a chance but who can tell in these ratings based races. Seymour 8-1 Lazer Sharp has only won one race but he's actually a talented horse and the step up to a mile is suitable. The Weetwood is always a great race and I reckon that one I've followed at his last couple of runs, 7-18 Slim Pickings, must have a chance. I put him in the black book after his 2nd three starts back and then picked up nicely when he won both of his subsequent starts at double figure tote odds. He's drawn wide but gets back anyway so that won't hurt his chance and finishes quickly so the hectic pace of this race will play into his racing style. He'll be double figure odds again so I'll be backing each way.