Saturday, June 04, 2005

SELECTIONS - 4 June 2005

The selections this month come exclusively from the systems I have both 'in use' and 'watch' that are achieving positive results. You'll see an addition to the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going. If there are less than 10 selections then you'll see [0%/0%]

Belmont 2-3 Miss Andretti [17/41.2%/30%]
Kembla 8-10 Prior Viscount [185/33.5%/6%]
Rosehill 1-2 Mr Owl [76/44.7%/1%]
Rosehill 3-4 Pin Up [24/33.3%/57%]
Sandown 3-2 Perpugilliam [47/31.9%/18%]
Sandown 3-9 Valkyrie Diva [24/33.3%/57%]
Sandown 4-3 Forest Spy [11/45.5%/97%]
Sandown 6-6 Dismissal [0%/0%]
Toowoomba 4-2 Steel Cap [0%/0%]

While 3-9 Valkyrie Diva is likely to start favourite I'd suggest she needs to improve somewhat to take this out though the step up to 1400m will suit. She's looked impressive at her two starts but you'd have to say that if you put any of the top 4 in this race in those races then they'd have given those fields a bloody nose good and proper. If she can win then you'd have to think she'll be competitive in the Spring. At Rosehill, dual POOMA winner, 4-3 Boots 'N' Spurs from the Rick Worthington yard at Goulburn, is in a suitable race. He's only saluted narrowly but, gee, he's been tough and fought hard to the line. He'll be good each way odds and will get the gun run from the inside gate. At Eagle Farm, 4-5 Willy Leica looks set to win a decent race and confirm my high opinion of him. It wouldn't at all surprise me to see 4-12 Mahiman (another dual POOMA winner) run a race. He settled too close to the speed behind Activation last time, made a dash at the top of the straight before battling to the line in 9th spot. If he can settle back further then he'd be half a chance of lobbing a place at gigantic odds. Another to keep an eye on is 1-4 Birthday Bash which is coming off a couple of wet track runs the latest of which when he begun like Mark Webber and never got into the race. It also would not surprise me one iota to see 7-4 Gordo run well first up. His last 16 runs have been in Group 1/2/3 company with 8 being Group 1 races. Leaving aside wet track performances, he's never beaten too far and this is not much of a field. 8-6 Pacific Dancer looks the goods in the PJ O'Shea Stakes. Should be cherry ripe for this.

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