SELECTIONS - 14 May 2005

The selections this month come exclusively from the systems I have both 'in use' and 'watch' that are achieving positive results. You'll see an addition to the selections in the form of a set of numbers laid out as [Live Selections/Strike Rate%/POT%] that let you know how they're going. If there are less than 10 selections then you'll see [0%/0%]

Kembla 1-5 Vanetta [61/24.6%/18%]

Kembla 2-2 Rocking On [61/24.6%/18%]

Kembla 7-1 Notorious [61/24.6%/18%]

Randwick 3-6 Pocketfullofdreams [40/37.5%/60%]

Randwick 5-1 Our Highlander [40/37.5%/60%]

Sandown 6-8 Dismissal [0%/0%]

A few interesting races around the different venues with Group races in SA and Qld. In the SA Derby I'll go 11-Montcalm to beat 8-Pure Silence and 15-Kamsky. Anything could win that, though and a similar situation in the Goodwood where I'll go 8-Glamour Puss, 19-Segments, 3-Bomber Bill. Wouldn't at all surprise me to see an all female trifecta there. At the Gold Coast 8-My Son Day should go well in race 4, 6-Cateclipse looks the goods in race 5 but whenever I tip against Gumnuts it wins and when I tip it he loses. 3-Perlin will start impossibly short in the Prime Minister's Cup (will he be there watching?) and he may well flog them, as he looks really good. However, in spite of Toulouse Lautrec being an equine spastic, if you put him in the last 4 races that Perlin has been in, under the same conditions, then his form would most likely read 1111, as well. Not that I'd tip that horse, though. 6-Tickle is a superior wet tracker having a slow/heavy record of 6:4-0-2 and on the dry 5:0-1-0. She might be half a chance if there's a chink in Perlin's armour. Anything could win the Hollingdale but with a gun to my head I'd choose 1-Roman Arch with a rough chance to 4-Irish Rover, as he's excellent in affected ground and is up to a suitable distance. A couple of Hawkes' runners to be wary of up there are 3-21 Sighing and 8-20 King Of Spin. At Sandown there are a few shorties in the early races. Leaving aside the Steeple, 5-Miss Debonair will be about $1.60 in race 2. Anytime you find me backing a horse at that price when it's got concussion plates for the first time and you can call the men in white coats to come and collect me. There's not much competition in this race but I'll go with 2-Dorin Donna, as at least she's been beating the boys. In race 3, 3-Cos Snip went, as usual, like a dog shot in the bum in Listed company in Adelaide first up and will start short enough. I'm going to gamble that Cascade Emerald is going to be much better on top of the ground than in the wet, which is all she's struck. 4-El Segundo will also be short enough in race 4 and has a paralysing sprint. Being out of Palos Verde should mean he has the stamina to go a mile. 5-Green Bean will get to the front at some point in the straight, I suspect, and be hard to catch, as will 2-Captious so the favourite won't get everything his own way. In race 6, I'll only be taking two in the quaddie being POOMA selection 8-Dismissal and 5-Butten Shaw. 10-Life's A Bounty has a good record first up and at this track but has a feet gear change with glue on shoes going on. Never a good sign. 5-Sunnah looks the goods in race 7 and there only look a few chances in the last so the quaddie will probably pay light. At Randwick I wouldn't overlook 7-Full On Magic in quaddies in race 7, as he's pretty well placed at the weights.